Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Pak Fah Yeow International Limited (0239.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & GenericSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$10.06 - $21.32$14.28
Multi-Stage$7.69 - $8.38$8.03
Blended Fair Value$11.16
Current Price$2.52
Upside342.73%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS14.68%3.15%0.210.150.080.070.080.110.140.130.120.12
YoY Growth--40.31%93.73%19.65%-22.42%-21.40%-24.49%13.38%1.17%1.65%-21.94%
Dividend Yield--8.65%8.49%6.36%4.17%4.59%4.00%4.92%3.61%3.50%2.86%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)167.42
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)88.06
(=) Cash Retained (M)79.35
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)33.4820.9312.56
Cash Retained (M)79.3579.3579.35
(-) Cash Required (M)-33.48-20.93-12.56
(=) Excess Retained (M)45.8758.4366.80
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)311.64311.64311.64
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.150.190.21
LTM Dividend per Share0.280.280.28
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.150.190.21
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.430.470.50
WACC / Discount Rate10.01%10.01%10.01%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$10.06$14.28$21.32
Upside / Downside299.34%466.69%746.04%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)167.42178.30189.89202.23215.38229.38236.26
Payout Ratio52.60%60.08%67.56%75.04%82.52%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)88.06107.12128.29151.76177.73206.44218.54

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.01%10.01%10.01%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)96.4797.3898.30
Year 2 PV (M)104.03106.01108.02
Year 3 PV (M)110.82114.00117.24
Year 4 PV (M)116.87121.37125.99
Year 5 PV (M)122.25128.15134.28
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,847.261,936.482,029.12
Equity Value (M)2,397.692,503.392,612.94
Shares Outstanding (M)311.64311.64311.64
Fair Value$7.69$8.03$8.38
Upside / Downside205.31%218.77%232.72%

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