DDM Analysis: 0101.HK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$3.48 - $4.56	$4.05
Multi-Stage	$8.60 - $9.52	$9.05
Blended Fair Value	$6.55
Current Price	$7.49
Upside	-12.58%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-19.17%	-10.07%	0.25	0.76	0.76	0.75	0.74	0.73	0.73	0.73	0.73	0.73
YoY Growth	-	-	-66.83%	0.00%	1.33%	1.32%	1.30%	0.00%	0.03%	0.00%	-1.11%	1.40%
Dividend Yield	-	-	4.02%	6.97%	4.95%	4.65%	3.60%	4.25%	4.87%	3.82%	4.42%	4.16%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	4,641.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	2,540.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	2,101.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	928.20	580.13	348.08
Cash Retained (M)	2,101.00	2,101.00	2,101.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-928.20	-580.13	-348.08
(=) Excess Retained (M)	1,172.80	1,520.88	1,752.93
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	4,643.67	4,643.67	4,643.67
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.25	0.33	0.38
LTM Dividend per Share	0.55	0.55	0.55
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.25	0.33	0.38
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.80	0.87	0.92
WACC / Discount Rate	8.16%	8.16%	8.16%
Growth Rate	-12.07%	-11.07%	-10.07%
Fair Value	$3.48	$4.05	$4.56
Upside / Downside	-53.59%	-45.99%	-39.10%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	4,641.00	4,127.29	3,670.44	3,264.16	2,902.86	2,581.54	2,658.99
Payout Ratio	54.73%	61.78%	68.84%	75.89%	82.95%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	2,540.00	2,549.99	2,526.65	2,477.23	2,407.80	2,323.39	2,459.56

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	8.16%	8.16%	8.16%
Growth Rate	-12.07%	-11.07%	-10.07%
Year 1 PV (M)	2,331.16	2,357.67	2,384.18
Year 2 PV (M)	2,111.60	2,159.91	2,208.75
Year 3 PV (M)	1,892.64	1,957.95	2,024.74
Year 4 PV (M)	1,681.72	1,759.54	1,840.03
Year 5 PV (M)	1,483.51	1,569.80	1,660.07
PV of Terminal Value (M)	30,452.05	32,223.47	34,076.39
Equity Value (M)	39,952.68	42,028.34	44,194.17
Shares Outstanding (M)	4,643.67	4,643.67	4,643.67
Fair Value	$8.60	$9.05	$9.52
Upside / Downside	14.87%	20.84%	27.06%

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Financial Statements

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Hang Lung Properties Limited (0101.HK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener