Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Hansol Logistics Co., Ltd. (009180.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Integrated Freight & LogisticsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$10,779.37 - $33,678.79$17,285.28
Multi-Stage$7,164.66 - $7,825.26$7,488.97
Blended Fair Value$12,387.12
Current Price$2,595.00
Upside377.35%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS48.40%11.20%98.6968.4058.6348.8639.0813.7117.5811.7211.7234.15
YoY Growth--44.29%16.67%20.00%25.00%185.05%-21.99%50.00%0.00%-65.69%0.04%
Dividend Yield--4.69%2.86%2.07%1.12%1.14%1.23%1.29%0.60%0.57%1.44%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)11,528.63
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)4,222.37
(=) Cash Retained (M)7,306.26
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,305.731,441.08864.65
Cash Retained (M)7,306.267,306.267,306.26
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,305.73-1,441.08-864.65
(=) Excess Retained (M)5,000.545,865.186,441.62
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)28.1128.1128.11
(=) Excess Retained per Share177.87208.62229.12
LTM Dividend per Share150.19150.19150.19
(+) Excess Retained per Share177.87208.62229.12
(=) Adjusted Dividend328.05358.81379.31
WACC / Discount Rate8.71%8.71%8.71%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$10,779.37$17,285.28$33,678.79
Upside / Downside315.39%566.10%1,197.83%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)11,528.6312,278.0013,076.0613,926.0114,831.2015,795.2316,269.08
Payout Ratio36.63%47.30%57.98%68.65%79.33%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)4,222.375,807.507,580.859,560.2111,764.8514,215.7015,048.90

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.71%8.71%8.71%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)5,292.005,342.165,392.32
Year 2 PV (M)6,294.766,414.656,535.68
Year 3 PV (M)7,233.677,441.327,652.91
Year 4 PV (M)8,111.638,423.588,744.44
Year 5 PV (M)8,931.429,362.819,810.71
PV of Terminal Value (M)165,563.65173,560.44181,863.28
Equity Value (M)201,427.13210,544.96219,999.35
Shares Outstanding (M)28.1128.1128.11
Fair Value$7,164.66$7,488.97$7,825.26
Upside / Downside176.09%188.59%201.55%

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