Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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DONGBANG AGRO Corporation (007590.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Agricultural InputsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$7,794.25 - $14,093.49$10,421.79
Multi-Stage$8,469.50 - $9,254.88$8,854.97
Blended Fair Value$9,638.38
Current Price$6,180.00
Upside55.96%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS5.11%4.84%295.66246.38246.38337.10346.10230.43230.43230.43202.75184.34
YoY Growth--20.00%0.00%-26.91%-2.60%50.20%0.00%0.00%13.65%9.99%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.95%3.89%3.82%4.46%4.99%4.27%3.25%3.10%2.83%2.68%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)6,833.03
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3,721.80
(=) Cash Retained (M)3,111.22
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,366.61854.13512.48
Cash Retained (M)3,111.223,111.223,111.22
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,366.61-854.13-512.48
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,744.622,257.092,598.74
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)12.5912.5912.59
(=) Excess Retained per Share138.59179.30206.44
LTM Dividend per Share295.66295.66295.66
(+) Excess Retained per Share138.59179.30206.44
(=) Adjusted Dividend434.25474.96502.10
WACC / Discount Rate8.86%8.86%8.86%
Growth Rate3.11%4.11%5.11%
Fair Value$7,794.25$10,421.79$14,093.49
Upside / Downside26.12%68.64%128.05%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)6,833.037,113.977,406.467,710.988,028.028,358.098,608.84
Payout Ratio54.47%61.57%68.68%75.79%82.89%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3,721.804,380.385,086.815,843.936,654.717,522.287,963.17

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.86%8.86%8.86%
Growth Rate3.11%4.11%5.11%
Year 1 PV (M)3,985.354,024.004,062.65
Year 2 PV (M)4,210.714,292.784,375.64
Year 3 PV (M)4,401.194,530.494,662.29
Year 4 PV (M)4,559.844,739.324,924.04
Year 5 PV (M)4,689.484,921.335,162.27
PV of Terminal Value (M)84,769.8288,960.9193,316.16
Equity Value (M)106,616.39111,468.83116,503.06
Shares Outstanding (M)12.5912.5912.59
Fair Value$8,469.50$8,854.97$9,254.88
Upside / Downside37.05%43.28%49.76%

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