Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Miramar Hotel and Investment Company, Limited (0071.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - ServicesSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$18.66 - $27.54$22.92
Multi-Stage$45.09 - $49.68$47.34
Blended Fair Value$35.13
Current Price$9.52
Upside269.00%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-2.77%3.73%0.530.520.470.480.560.610.600.510.450.43
YoY Growth--1.92%10.64%-2.08%-14.29%-8.20%1.67%17.62%13.03%3.89%18.18%
Dividend Yield--5.82%4.91%3.86%3.75%4.31%3.89%3.94%3.27%2.78%3.17%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,665.68
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)725.51
(=) Cash Retained (M)940.17
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)333.14208.21124.93
Cash Retained (M)940.17940.17940.17
(-) Cash Required (M)-333.14-208.21-124.93
(=) Excess Retained (M)607.04731.96815.25
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)690.96690.96690.96
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.881.061.18
LTM Dividend per Share1.051.051.05
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.881.061.18
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.932.112.23
WACC / Discount Rate6.62%6.62%6.62%
Growth Rate-3.36%-2.36%-1.36%
Fair Value$18.66$22.92$27.54
Upside / Downside96.03%140.73%189.28%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,665.681,626.291,587.841,550.291,513.631,477.841,522.17
Payout Ratio43.56%52.85%62.13%71.42%80.71%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)725.51859.41986.581,107.261,221.671,330.061,408.01

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.62%6.62%6.62%
Growth Rate-3.36%-2.36%-1.36%
Year 1 PV (M)797.78806.04814.30
Year 2 PV (M)850.16867.84885.71
Year 3 PV (M)885.72913.50941.86
Year 4 PV (M)907.16945.30984.62
Year 5 PV (M)916.82965.251,015.70
PV of Terminal Value (M)26,796.9428,212.4329,687.11
Equity Value (M)31,154.5832,710.3634,329.30
Shares Outstanding (M)690.96690.96690.96
Fair Value$45.09$47.34$49.68
Upside / Downside373.62%397.27%421.89%

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