DDM Analysis: 005720.KS

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$89,866.20 - $258,383.89	$242,143.54
Multi-Stage	$35,328.02 - $38,681.31	$36,973.82
Blended Fair Value	$139,558.68
Current Price	$6,330.00
Upside	2,104.72%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	26.00%	17.25%	257.21	227.46	226.49	211.80	208.56	81.00	114.75	78.38	57.57	57.57
YoY Growth	-	-	13.08%	0.43%	6.93%	1.55%	157.49%	-29.41%	46.40%	36.16%	0.00%	9.94%
Dividend Yield	-	-	5.60%	5.54%	5.50%	4.79%	4.43%	2.22%	1.82%	1.09%	0.68%	0.72%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	67,790.45
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	14,690.30
(=) Cash Retained (M)	53,100.15

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	13,558.09	8,473.81	5,084.28
Cash Retained (M)	53,100.15	53,100.15	53,100.15
(-) Cash Required (M)	-13,558.09	-8,473.81	-5,084.28
(=) Excess Retained (M)	39,542.06	44,626.34	48,015.86
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	52.18	52.18	52.18
(=) Excess Retained per Share	757.84	855.28	920.24
LTM Dividend per Share	281.54	281.54	281.54
(+) Excess Retained per Share	757.84	855.28	920.24
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1,039.38	1,136.82	1,201.79
WACC / Discount Rate	6.72%	6.72%	6.72%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$89,866.20	$242,143.54	$258,383.89
Upside / Downside	1,319.69%	3,725.33%	3,981.89%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	67,790.45	72,196.83	76,889.62	81,887.45	87,210.13	92,878.79	95,665.15
Payout Ratio	21.67%	35.34%	49.00%	62.67%	76.33%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	14,690.30	25,511.56	37,677.53	51,317.28	66,571.01	83,590.91	88,490.27

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.72%	6.72%	6.72%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	23,680.63	23,905.09	24,129.56
Year 2 PV (M)	32,463.46	33,081.80	33,705.97
Year 3 PV (M)	41,042.35	42,220.53	43,421.05
Year 4 PV (M)	49,420.83	51,321.41	53,276.30
Year 5 PV (M)	57,602.34	60,384.56	63,273.25
PV of Terminal Value (M)	1,639,117.98	1,718,287.99	1,800,488.03
Equity Value (M)	1,843,327.60	1,929,201.39	2,018,294.15
Shares Outstanding (M)	52.18	52.18	52.18
Fair Value	$35,328.02	$36,973.82	$38,681.31
Upside / Downside	458.10%	484.10%	511.08%

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Nexen Corporation (005720.KS)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener