Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Chen Hsong Holdings Limited (0057.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$10.30 - $29.83$16.17
Multi-Stage$11.02 - $12.07$11.53
Blended Fair Value$13.85
Current Price$1.82
Upside661.13%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS3.25%5.40%0.090.100.160.170.100.080.080.090.050.05
YoY Growth---14.56%-36.02%-3.59%67.00%33.33%-6.25%-9.09%69.23%4.00%-3.85%
Dividend Yield--5.83%7.74%8.66%7.20%4.13%4.24%2.84%3.86%2.48%3.16%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)265.38
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)120.43
(=) Cash Retained (M)144.95
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)53.0833.1719.90
Cash Retained (M)144.95144.95144.95
(-) Cash Required (M)-53.08-33.17-19.90
(=) Excess Retained (M)91.87111.78125.05
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)630.53630.53630.53
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.150.180.20
LTM Dividend per Share0.190.190.19
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.150.180.20
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.340.370.39
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate3.17%4.17%5.17%
Fair Value$10.30$16.17$29.83
Upside / Downside465.97%788.50%1,539.28%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)265.38276.44287.96299.96312.46325.48335.25
Payout Ratio45.38%54.30%63.23%72.15%81.08%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)120.43150.12182.07216.43253.33292.93310.10

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate3.17%4.17%5.17%
Year 1 PV (M)139.55140.91142.26
Year 2 PV (M)157.34160.41163.50
Year 3 PV (M)173.87178.97184.17
Year 4 PV (M)189.19196.63204.29
Year 5 PV (M)203.36213.41223.85
PV of Terminal Value (M)6,082.056,382.586,694.89
Equity Value (M)6,945.367,272.917,612.96
Shares Outstanding (M)630.53630.53630.53
Fair Value$11.02$11.53$12.07
Upside / Downside505.22%533.77%563.40%

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