Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Chin Yang Industry Co., Ltd. (003780.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - PartsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$18,600.79 - $53,712.34$29,172.58
Multi-Stage$12,883.69 - $14,071.70$13,466.92
Blended Fair Value$21,319.75
Current Price$5,630.00
Upside278.68%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS14.87%5.24%249.77199.82199.82174.84179.83124.8999.91174.84199.82149.86
YoY Growth--25.00%0.00%14.29%-2.78%44.00%25.00%-42.86%-12.50%33.33%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.60%2.90%3.28%1.48%2.28%4.23%2.81%6.04%5.18%2.21%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)9,700.77
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3,653.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)6,047.77
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,940.151,212.60727.56
Cash Retained (M)6,047.776,047.776,047.77
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,940.15-1,212.60-727.56
(=) Excess Retained (M)4,107.624,835.175,320.21
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)13.0113.0113.01
(=) Excess Retained per Share315.68371.60408.87
LTM Dividend per Share280.74280.74280.74
(+) Excess Retained per Share315.68371.60408.87
(=) Adjusted Dividend596.42652.34689.61
WACC / Discount Rate8.74%8.74%8.74%
Growth Rate5.36%6.36%7.36%
Fair Value$18,600.79$29,172.58$53,712.34
Upside / Downside230.39%418.16%854.04%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)9,700.7710,318.2110,974.9611,673.5012,416.5113,206.8113,603.01
Payout Ratio37.66%48.13%58.59%69.06%79.53%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3,653.004,965.696,430.688,062.049,875.0211,886.1312,582.79

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.74%8.74%8.74%
Growth Rate5.36%6.36%7.36%
Year 1 PV (M)4,523.504,566.434,609.36
Year 2 PV (M)5,336.385,438.155,540.88
Year 3 PV (M)6,094.386,269.556,448.05
Year 4 PV (M)6,800.137,061.997,331.33
Year 5 PV (M)7,456.157,816.768,191.18
PV of Terminal Value (M)137,431.14144,077.79150,979.15
Equity Value (M)167,641.67175,230.66183,099.96
Shares Outstanding (M)13.0113.0113.01
Fair Value$12,883.69$13,466.92$14,071.70
Upside / Downside128.84%139.20%149.94%

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