Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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SsangYong C&E Co., Ltd. (003410.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Construction MaterialsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$8,576.91 - $17,433.69$11,991.00
Multi-Stage$11,090.29 - $12,135.07$11,602.94
Blended Fair Value$11,796.97
Current Price$7,000.00
Upside68.53%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2023202220212020201920182017201620152014
DPS-2.41%72.07%324.47447.91447.91450.00426.38366.62189.821.281.431.43
YoY Growth---27.56%0.00%-0.46%5.54%16.30%93.15%14,683.76%-9.90%-0.07%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.64%7.26%5.44%5.86%9.45%5.76%0.40%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)246,061.95
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)208,119.55
(=) Cash Retained (M)37,942.40
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)49,212.3930,757.7418,454.65
Cash Retained (M)37,942.4037,942.4037,942.40
(-) Cash Required (M)-49,212.39-30,757.74-18,454.65
(=) Excess Retained (M)-11,269.997,184.6519,487.75
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)493.41493.41493.41
(=) Excess Retained per Share-22.8414.5639.50
LTM Dividend per Share421.80421.80421.80
(+) Excess Retained per Share-22.8414.5639.50
(=) Adjusted Dividend398.96436.36461.29
WACC / Discount Rate7.12%7.12%7.12%
Growth Rate2.36%3.36%4.36%
Fair Value$8,576.91$11,991.00$17,433.69
Upside / Downside22.53%71.30%149.05%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)246,061.95254,336.81262,889.95271,730.72280,868.80290,314.19299,023.62
Payout Ratio84.58%85.66%86.75%87.83%88.92%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)208,119.55217,875.38228,052.00238,666.68249,737.39261,282.77276,596.84

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.12%7.12%7.12%
Growth Rate2.36%3.36%4.36%
Year 1 PV (M)201,417.80203,385.48205,353.17
Year 2 PV (M)194,900.64198,727.28202,591.11
Year 3 PV (M)188,564.91194,145.44199,835.00
Year 4 PV (M)182,407.35189,640.35197,086.35
Year 5 PV (M)176,424.64185,212.27194,346.63
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,528,350.794,753,905.894,988,360.62
Equity Value (M)5,472,066.135,725,016.715,987,572.87
Shares Outstanding (M)493.41493.41493.41
Fair Value$11,090.29$11,602.94$12,135.07
Upside / Downside58.43%65.76%73.36%

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