Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

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Luolai Lifestyle Technology Co., Ltd. (002293.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Apparel - ManufacturersSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$101.47 - $119.60$112.06
Multi-Stage$62.14 - $68.28$65.15
Blended Fair Value$88.60
Current Price$8.04
Upside1,002.04%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS11.15%17.95%0.620.630.611.200.510.360.340.200.180.34
YoY Growth---1.70%1.89%-48.95%136.52%40.28%7.81%66.94%12.32%-47.10%187.20%
Dividend Yield--7.60%6.33%4.99%9.29%3.76%4.07%2.87%1.47%1.51%2.74%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)511.39
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)503.30
(=) Cash Retained (M)8.09
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)102.2863.9238.35
Cash Retained (M)8.098.098.09
(-) Cash Required (M)-102.28-63.92-38.35
(=) Excess Retained (M)-94.18-55.83-30.26
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)831.74831.74831.74
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.11-0.07-0.04
LTM Dividend per Share0.610.610.61
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.11-0.07-0.04
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.490.540.57
WACC / Discount Rate2.91%2.91%2.91%
Growth Rate3.14%4.14%5.14%
Fair Value$101.47$112.06$119.60
Upside / Downside1,162.03%1,293.72%1,387.51%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)511.39532.57554.63577.61601.53626.45645.24
Payout Ratio98.42%96.73%95.05%93.37%91.68%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)503.30515.18527.18539.29551.51563.80596.85

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate2.91%2.91%2.91%
Growth Rate3.14%4.14%5.14%
Year 1 PV (M)495.82500.62505.43
Year 2 PV (M)488.30497.81507.42
Year 3 PV (M)480.74494.86509.25
Year 4 PV (M)473.15491.76510.93
Year 5 PV (M)465.52488.52512.43
PV of Terminal Value (M)49,279.9451,715.6554,246.73
Equity Value (M)51,683.4554,189.2356,792.19
Shares Outstanding (M)831.74831.74831.74
Fair Value$62.14$65.15$68.28
Upside / Downside672.88%710.35%749.27%

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