DDM Analysis: 0016.HK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$140.73 - $229.63	$180.49
Multi-Stage	$429.37 - $473.31	$450.91
Blended Fair Value	$315.70
Current Price	$90.05
Upside	250.58%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	0.00%	0.00%	0.00	4.61	4.91	4.91	4.91	4.91	4.66	4.16	3.86	3.42
YoY Growth	-	-	-100.00%	-6.06%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	5.34%	11.92%	7.75%	13.12%	5.05%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.00%	6.83%	4.97%	5.29%	4.24%	4.96%	3.52%	3.52%	3.37%	3.67%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	37,895.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	21,589.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	16,306.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	7,579.00	4,736.88	2,842.13
Cash Retained (M)	16,306.00	16,306.00	16,306.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-7,579.00	-4,736.88	-2,842.13
(=) Excess Retained (M)	8,727.00	11,569.13	13,463.88
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	2,922.78	2,922.78	2,922.78
(=) Excess Retained per Share	2.99	3.96	4.61
LTM Dividend per Share	7.39	7.39	7.39
(+) Excess Retained per Share	2.99	3.96	4.61
(=) Adjusted Dividend	10.37	11.34	11.99
WACC / Discount Rate	5.22%	5.22%	5.22%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Fair Value	$140.73	$180.49	$229.63
Upside / Downside	56.28%	100.43%	155.00%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	37,895.00	37,516.05	37,140.89	36,769.48	36,401.79	36,037.77	37,118.90
Payout Ratio	56.97%	63.58%	70.18%	76.79%	83.39%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	21,589.00	23,851.38	26,066.35	28,234.63	30,356.95	32,433.99	34,334.98

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	5.22%	5.22%	5.22%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)	22,438.54	22,667.50	22,896.47
Year 2 PV (M)	23,069.73	23,542.94	24,020.95
Year 3 PV (M)	23,508.53	24,235.55	24,977.40
Year 4 PV (M)	23,778.40	24,763.90	25,779.72
Year 5 PV (M)	23,900.44	25,145.00	26,440.86
PV of Terminal Value (M)	1,138,272.80	1,197,545.31	1,259,261.66
Equity Value (M)	1,254,968.44	1,317,900.19	1,383,377.07
Shares Outstanding (M)	2,922.78	2,922.78	2,922.78
Fair Value	$429.37	$450.91	$473.31
Upside / Downside	376.82%	400.73%	425.61%

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Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited (0016.HK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener