DDM Analysis: 000001.SZ

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$71.40 - $417.03	$132.15
Multi-Stage	$42.29 - $46.23	$44.22
Blended Fair Value	$88.19
Current Price	$11.34
Upside	677.65%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	45.02%	30.35%	1.05	0.41	0.35	0.31	0.29	0.16	0.16	0.17	0.11	0.10
YoY Growth	-	-	157.47%	15.20%	14.70%	7.06%	76.10%	4.83%	-10.54%	63.86%	10.11%	30.53%
Dividend Yield	-	-	9.32%	3.83%	2.82%	2.01%	1.31%	1.28%	1.18%	1.60%	1.16%	1.09%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	43,118.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	14,648.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	28,470.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	8,623.60	5,389.75	3,233.85
Cash Retained (M)	28,470.00	28,470.00	28,470.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-8,623.60	-5,389.75	-3,233.85
(=) Excess Retained (M)	19,846.40	23,080.25	25,236.15
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	20,562.20	20,562.20	20,562.20
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.97	1.12	1.23
LTM Dividend per Share	0.71	0.71	0.71
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.97	1.12	1.23
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1.68	1.83	1.94
WACC / Discount Rate	7.98%	7.98%	7.98%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$71.40	$132.15	$417.03
Upside / Downside	529.63%	1,065.31%	3,577.53%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	43,118.00	45,920.67	48,905.51	52,084.37	55,469.86	59,075.40	60,847.66
Payout Ratio	33.97%	45.18%	56.38%	67.59%	78.79%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	14,648.00	20,745.82	27,574.46	35,203.18	43,707.13	53,167.86	56,284.08

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.98%	7.98%	7.98%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	19,032.47	19,212.87	19,393.27
Year 2 PV (M)	23,207.92	23,649.97	24,096.18
Year 3 PV (M)	27,181.64	27,961.93	28,757.01
Year 4 PV (M)	30,960.69	32,151.35	33,376.03
Year 5 PV (M)	34,551.92	36,220.79	37,953.53
PV of Terminal Value (M)	734,664.71	770,149.29	806,991.95
Equity Value (M)	869,599.35	909,346.20	950,567.97
Shares Outstanding (M)	20,562.20	20,562.20	20,562.20
Fair Value	$42.29	$44.22	$46.23
Upside / Downside	272.94%	289.98%	307.66%

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3684.TWO	Grand-Tek Technology Co., Ltd.	1.25%	$0.80	29.94%
5819.KL	Hong Leong Bank Berhad	1.25%	$0.28	13.43%
600633.SS	Zhejiang Daily Digital Culture Group Co.,Ltd.	1.25%	$0.16	35.54%
600850.SS	CETC Digital Technology Co.,Ltd.	1.25%	$0.37	49.83%
603329.SS	Shanghai Ace Investment & Development Co., Ltd.	1.25%	$0.14	79.14%
603920.SS	Olympic Circuit Technology Co., Ltd	1.25%	$0.61	53.40%
6632.T	JVCKENWOOD Corporation	1.25%	$15.03	12.26%
9717.T	JASTEC Co., Ltd.	1.25%	$24.25	22.00%
9719.T	SCSK Corporation	1.25%	$70.95	36.13%
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Ping An Bank Co., Ltd. (000001.SZ)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener