DDM Analysis: VIDLI.BO

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$56.64 - $102.01	$95.60
Multi-Stage	$16.28 - $17.82	$17.03
Blended Fair Value	$56.31
Current Price	$74.67
Upside	-24.58%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	0.00%	0.00%	0.50	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.24	0.12	0.25	0.03
YoY Growth	-	-	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	-100.00%	100.94%	-52.21%	620.60%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.76%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.90%	0.17%	1.93%	0.54%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	5.57
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	2.71
(=) Cash Retained (M)	2.86

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	1.11	0.70	0.42
Cash Retained (M)	2.86	2.86	2.86
(-) Cash Required (M)	-1.11	-0.70	-0.42
(=) Excess Retained (M)	1.75	2.17	2.45
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	10.86	10.86	10.86
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.16	0.20	0.23
LTM Dividend per Share	0.25	0.25	0.25
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.16	0.20	0.23
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.41	0.45	0.47
WACC / Discount Rate	6.26%	6.26%	6.26%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$56.64	$95.60	$102.01
Upside / Downside	-24.14%	28.02%	36.61%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	5.57	5.93	6.32	6.73	7.17	7.63	7.86
Payout Ratio	48.58%	56.87%	65.15%	73.43%	81.72%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	2.71	3.37	4.12	4.94	5.86	6.87	7.27

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.26%	6.26%	6.26%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	3.15	3.18	3.20
Year 2 PV (M)	3.58	3.65	3.71
Year 3 PV (M)	4.00	4.12	4.24
Year 4 PV (M)	4.42	4.59	4.77
Year 5 PV (M)	4.84	5.07	5.31
PV of Terminal Value (M)	156.84	164.41	172.28
Equity Value (M)	176.82	185.01	193.51
Shares Outstanding (M)	10.86	10.86	10.86
Fair Value	$16.28	$17.03	$17.82
Upside / Downside	-78.20%	-77.19%	-76.14%

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Vidli Restaurants Limited (VIDLI.BO)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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