Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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PT Damai Sejahtera Abadi Tbk (UFOE.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Department StoresSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$84.22 - $131.53$106.02
Multi-Stage$196.52 - $216.68$206.40
Blended Fair Value$156.21
Current Price$190.00
Upside-17.78%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020201920182017
DPS0.00%0.00%1.410.000.000.670.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.74%0.00%0.00%0.04%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)19,918.25
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3,202.50
(=) Cash Retained (M)16,715.75
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3,983.652,489.781,493.87
Cash Retained (M)16,715.7516,715.7516,715.75
(-) Cash Required (M)-3,983.65-2,489.78-1,493.87
(=) Excess Retained (M)12,732.1014,225.9715,221.88
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,266.572,266.572,266.57
(=) Excess Retained per Share5.626.286.72
LTM Dividend per Share1.411.411.41
(+) Excess Retained per Share5.626.286.72
(=) Adjusted Dividend7.037.698.13
WACC / Discount Rate6.18%6.18%6.18%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$84.22$106.02$131.53
Upside / Downside-55.67%-44.20%-30.77%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)19,918.2519,719.0719,521.8819,326.6619,133.4018,942.0619,510.32
Payout Ratio16.08%30.86%45.65%60.43%75.22%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3,202.506,085.818,911.1411,679.3514,391.3117,047.8618,047.05

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.18%6.18%6.18%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)5,673.705,731.595,789.49
Year 2 PV (M)7,745.127,903.998,064.47
Year 3 PV (M)9,463.709,756.3810,055.02
Year 4 PV (M)10,871.5211,322.0911,786.53
Year 5 PV (M)12,006.2512,631.4413,282.41
PV of Terminal Value (M)399,663.40420,474.80442,144.27
Equity Value (M)445,423.68467,820.29491,122.18
Shares Outstanding (M)2,266.572,266.572,266.57
Fair Value$196.52$206.40$216.68
Upside / Downside3.43%8.63%14.04%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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