Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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PT Sunindo Pratama Tbk (SUNI.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Oil & Gas Equipment & ServicesSector: Energy

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$630.78 - $949.20$781.32
Multi-Stage$1,239.94 - $1,364.80$1,301.14
Blended Fair Value$1,041.23
Current Price$840.00
Upside23.96%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS0.00%0.00%4.443.030.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--46.67%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.58%0.83%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)184,538.69
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)50,000.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)134,538.69
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)36,907.7423,067.3413,840.40
Cash Retained (M)134,538.69134,538.69134,538.69
(-) Cash Required (M)-36,907.74-23,067.34-13,840.40
(=) Excess Retained (M)97,630.95111,471.35120,698.28
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,476.602,476.602,476.60
(=) Excess Retained per Share39.4245.0148.74
LTM Dividend per Share20.1920.1920.19
(+) Excess Retained per Share39.4245.0148.74
(=) Adjusted Dividend59.6165.2068.92
WACC / Discount Rate7.26%7.26%7.26%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$630.78$781.32$949.20
Upside / Downside-24.91%-6.99%13.00%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)184,538.69182,693.30180,866.37179,057.70177,267.12175,494.45180,759.29
Payout Ratio27.09%39.68%52.26%64.84%77.42%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)50,000.0072,484.7994,514.89116,097.14137,238.29157,945.01167,202.34

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.26%7.26%7.26%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)66,895.1767,577.7868,260.38
Year 2 PV (M)80,500.0282,151.2683,819.26
Year 3 PV (M)91,256.7794,078.9596,958.72
Year 4 PV (M)99,555.84103,681.97107,935.04
Year 5 PV (M)105,741.44111,247.65116,980.87
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,626,882.312,763,670.172,906,097.88
Equity Value (M)3,070,831.563,222,407.773,380,052.16
Shares Outstanding (M)2,476.602,476.602,476.60
Fair Value$1,239.94$1,301.14$1,364.80
Upside / Downside47.61%54.90%62.48%

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