DDM Analysis: SKMO.ST

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$35.34 - $102.55	$55.51
Multi-Stage	$41.52 - $45.45	$43.45
Blended Fair Value	$49.48
Current Price	$63.60
Upside	-22.20%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	4.94%	0.00%	1.40	1.40	1.40	1.20	1.10	1.10	1.10	1.10	1.10	2.60
YoY Growth	-	-	0.00%	0.00%	16.67%	9.09%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	-57.69%	85.71%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.72%	2.69%	1.42%	1.15%	2.00%	2.62%	2.76%	2.62%	2.90%	6.37%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	15.90
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	15.40
(=) Cash Retained (M)	0.50

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	3.18	1.99	1.19
Cash Retained (M)	0.50	0.50	0.50
(-) Cash Required (M)	-3.18	-1.99	-1.19
(=) Excess Retained (M)	-2.68	-1.49	-0.69
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	11.00	11.00	11.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share	-0.24	-0.14	-0.06
LTM Dividend per Share	1.40	1.40	1.40
(+) Excess Retained per Share	-0.24	-0.14	-0.06
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1.16	1.26	1.34
WACC / Discount Rate	6.31%	6.31%	6.31%
Growth Rate	2.94%	3.94%	4.94%
Fair Value	$35.34	$55.51	$102.55
Upside / Downside	-44.43%	-12.72%	61.24%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	15.90	16.53	17.18	17.86	18.56	19.29	19.87
Payout Ratio	96.86%	95.48%	94.11%	92.74%	91.37%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	15.40	15.78	16.17	16.56	16.96	17.36	18.38

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.31%	6.31%	6.31%
Growth Rate	2.94%	3.94%	4.94%
Year 1 PV (M)	14.70	14.84	14.99
Year 2 PV (M)	14.03	14.30	14.58
Year 3 PV (M)	13.39	13.78	14.18
Year 4 PV (M)	12.77	13.28	13.79
Year 5 PV (M)	12.18	12.79	13.41
PV of Terminal Value (M)	389.65	408.94	429.00
Equity Value (M)	456.72	477.94	499.96
Shares Outstanding (M)	11.00	11.00	11.00
Fair Value	$41.52	$43.45	$45.45
Upside / Downside	-34.72%	-31.68%	-28.54%

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Skåne-möllan AB (publ) (SKMO.ST)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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