Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sekerbank T.A.S. (SKBNK.IS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$196.81 - $231.87$217.30
Multi-Stage$43.37 - $47.55$45.42
Blended Fair Value$131.36
Current Price$6.75
Upside1,846.08%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%117.31%0.060.050.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--27.69%3,280.23%124.87%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-68.24%0.00%-100.00%1,512.90%
Dividend Yield--1.26%1.48%0.07%0.08%0.00%0.00%0.06%0.12%0.00%0.04%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,737.58
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)124.62
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,612.96
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)547.52342.20205.32
Cash Retained (M)2,612.962,612.962,612.96
(-) Cash Required (M)-547.52-342.20-205.32
(=) Excess Retained (M)2,065.442,270.762,407.64
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,348.012,348.012,348.01
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.880.971.03
LTM Dividend per Share0.050.050.05
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.880.971.03
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.931.021.08
WACC / Discount Rate5.74%5.74%5.74%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$196.81$217.30$231.87
Upside / Downside2,815.65%3,119.22%3,335.13%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,737.582,915.523,105.033,306.853,521.803,750.713,863.24
Payout Ratio4.55%21.64%38.73%55.82%72.91%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)124.62630.971,202.611,845.912,567.763,375.643,573.49

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.74%5.74%5.74%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)591.13596.74602.34
Year 2 PV (M)1,055.561,075.671,095.96
Year 3 PV (M)1,517.911,561.491,605.89
Year 4 PV (M)1,978.192,054.272,132.52
Year 5 PV (M)2,436.412,554.092,676.27
PV of Terminal Value (M)94,258.9998,811.74103,538.72
Equity Value (M)101,838.20106,653.99111,651.71
Shares Outstanding (M)2,348.012,348.012,348.01
Fair Value$43.37$45.42$47.55
Upside / Downside542.55%572.94%604.47%

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