Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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SalMar ASA (SALM.OL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Agricultural Farm ProductsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$203.91 - $542.08$312.01
Multi-Stage$136.24 - $149.03$142.52
Blended Fair Value$227.26
Current Price$533.00
Upside-57.36%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS12.55%17.95%35.3420.7317.7617.0611.0919.5716.2010.318.508.49
YoY Growth--70.44%16.72%4.09%53.85%-43.31%20.76%57.19%21.32%0.09%25.24%
Dividend Yield--7.01%3.04%3.90%2.44%1.88%5.63%3.90%3.12%4.59%4.18%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,150.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)49.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,101.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)230.00143.7586.25
Cash Retained (M)1,101.001,101.001,101.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-230.00-143.75-86.25
(=) Excess Retained (M)871.00957.251,014.75
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)132.52132.52132.52
(=) Excess Retained per Share6.577.227.66
LTM Dividend per Share0.370.370.37
(+) Excess Retained per Share6.577.227.66
(=) Adjusted Dividend6.947.598.03
WACC / Discount Rate9.09%9.09%9.09%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$203.91$312.01$542.08
Upside / Downside-61.74%-41.46%1.70%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,150.001,224.751,304.361,389.141,479.441,575.601,622.87
Payout Ratio4.26%21.41%38.56%55.70%72.85%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)49.00262.20502.92773.811,077.801,418.041,501.15

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.09%9.09%9.09%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)238.09240.35242.61
Year 2 PV (M)414.68422.58430.55
Year 3 PV (M)579.38596.02612.96
Year 4 PV (M)732.79760.97789.96
Year 5 PV (M)875.47917.75961.66
PV of Terminal Value (M)15,213.3615,948.1716,711.11
Equity Value (M)18,053.7818,885.8519,748.85
Shares Outstanding (M)132.52132.52132.52
Fair Value$136.24$142.52$149.03
Upside / Downside-74.44%-73.26%-72.04%

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