DDM Analysis: NKNC.ME

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$1,890.82 - $4,393.42	$4,117.28
Multi-Stage	$636.89 - $697.85	$666.81
Blended Fair Value	$2,392.05
Current Price	$85.35
Upside	2,702.63%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015	2014	2013
DPS	0.00%	0.00%	0.00	9.05	19.95	0.01	0.06	4.36	1.52	1.00	2.80	0.79
YoY Growth	-	-	-100.00%	-54.65%	145,984.00%	-77.88%	-98.58%	186.88%	52.02%	-64.29%	253.20%	158.65%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.00%	8.86%	21.82%	0.01%	0.09%	8.42%	2.00%	2.24%	13.40%	2.98%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	40,432.53
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	2,727.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	37,705.53

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	8,086.51	5,054.07	3,032.44
Cash Retained (M)	37,705.53	37,705.53	37,705.53
(-) Cash Required (M)	-8,086.51	-5,054.07	-3,032.44
(=) Excess Retained (M)	29,619.03	32,651.47	34,673.09
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	1,830.24	1,830.24	1,830.24
(=) Excess Retained per Share	16.18	17.84	18.94
LTM Dividend per Share	1.49	1.49	1.49
(+) Excess Retained per Share	16.18	17.84	18.94
(=) Adjusted Dividend	17.67	19.33	20.43
WACC / Discount Rate	6.49%	6.49%	6.49%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$1,890.82	$4,117.28	$4,393.42
Upside / Downside	2,115.37%	4,724.00%	5,047.54%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	40,432.53	43,060.65	45,859.59	48,840.46	52,015.09	55,396.07	57,057.96
Payout Ratio	6.74%	23.40%	40.05%	56.70%	73.35%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	2,727.00	10,074.32	18,365.27	27,691.48	38,152.50	49,856.47	52,778.61

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.49%	6.49%	6.49%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	9,371.86	9,460.69	9,549.52
Year 2 PV (M)	15,893.42	16,196.14	16,501.72
Year 3 PV (M)	22,293.39	22,933.35	23,585.45
Year 4 PV (M)	28,573.47	29,672.33	30,802.57
Year 5 PV (M)	34,735.33	36,413.06	38,155.00
PV of Terminal Value (M)	1,054,799.00	1,105,746.19	1,158,643.24
Equity Value (M)	1,165,666.47	1,220,421.76	1,277,237.51
Shares Outstanding (M)	1,830.24	1,830.24	1,830.24
Fair Value	$636.89	$666.81	$697.85
Upside / Downside	646.21%	681.27%	717.64%

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PJSC Nizhnekamskneftekhim (NKNC.ME)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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