Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Multikarya Asia Pasifik Raya Tb (MKAP.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Oil & Gas Equipment & ServicesSector: Energy

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$116.55 - $172.21$143.21
Multi-Stage$209.31 - $230.32$219.61
Blended Fair Value$181.41
Current Price$342.00
Upside-46.96%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.001.690.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%1.09%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)47,962.53
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)9,743.54
(=) Cash Retained (M)38,218.98
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)9,592.515,995.323,597.19
Cash Retained (M)38,218.9838,218.9838,218.98
(-) Cash Required (M)-9,592.51-5,995.32-3,597.19
(=) Excess Retained (M)28,626.4832,223.6734,621.79
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)3,250.003,250.003,250.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share8.819.9110.65
LTM Dividend per Share3.003.003.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share8.819.9110.65
(=) Adjusted Dividend11.8112.9113.65
WACC / Discount Rate7.93%7.93%7.93%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$116.55$143.21$172.21
Upside / Downside-65.92%-58.13%-49.65%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)47,962.5347,482.9047,008.0746,537.9946,072.6145,611.8846,980.24
Payout Ratio20.31%34.25%48.19%62.13%76.06%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)9,743.5416,263.8122,652.6928,912.1735,044.2041,050.7043,456.72

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.93%7.93%7.93%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)14,917.0915,069.3115,221.52
Year 2 PV (M)19,056.5219,447.4219,842.28
Year 3 PV (M)22,308.3022,998.2023,702.18
Year 4 PV (M)24,800.7025,828.5726,888.07
Year 5 PV (M)26,645.8928,033.4029,478.12
PV of Terminal Value (M)572,544.47602,358.19633,401.15
Equity Value (M)680,272.97713,735.08748,533.31
Shares Outstanding (M)3,250.003,250.003,250.00
Fair Value$209.31$219.61$230.32
Upside / Downside-38.80%-35.79%-32.66%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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