DDM Analysis: MEGACPO.MX

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$50.44 - $100.84	$70.08
Multi-Stage	$40.02 - $43.79	$41.87
Blended Fair Value	$55.98
Current Price	$52.51
Upside	6.60%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	6.63%	0.00%	3.08	2.96	2.98	2.67	1.89	2.23	1.85	1.73	1.36	1.14
YoY Growth	-	-	4.16%	-0.81%	11.48%	41.74%	-15.58%	20.50%	7.10%	27.14%	19.30%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	7.20%	6.07%	6.47%	4.46%	2.58%	3.44%	2.05%	2.09%	1.88%	1.59%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	2,514.98
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	6.71
(=) Cash Retained (M)	2,508.27

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	503.00	314.37	188.62
Cash Retained (M)	2,508.27	2,508.27	2,508.27
(-) Cash Required (M)	-503.00	-314.37	-188.62
(=) Excess Retained (M)	2,005.28	2,193.90	2,319.65
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	858.48	858.48	858.48
(=) Excess Retained per Share	2.34	2.56	2.70
LTM Dividend per Share	0.01	0.01	0.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share	2.34	2.56	2.70
(=) Adjusted Dividend	2.34	2.56	2.71
WACC / Discount Rate	9.68%	9.68%	9.68%
Growth Rate	4.81%	5.81%	6.81%
Fair Value	$50.44	$70.08	$100.84
Upside / Downside	-3.95%	33.46%	92.04%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	2,514.98	2,661.09	2,815.69	2,979.28	3,152.36	3,335.50	3,435.57
Payout Ratio	0.27%	18.21%	36.16%	54.11%	72.05%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	6.71	484.67	1,018.16	1,611.99	2,271.38	3,001.95	3,177.90

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.68%	9.68%	9.68%
Growth Rate	4.81%	5.81%	6.81%
Year 1 PV (M)	437.72	441.90	446.08
Year 2 PV (M)	830.45	846.37	862.44
Year 3 PV (M)	1,187.43	1,221.74	1,256.71
Year 4 PV (M)	1,511.07	1,569.57	1,629.76
Year 5 PV (M)	1,803.63	1,891.33	1,982.41
PV of Terminal Value (M)	28,583.38	29,973.24	31,416.64
Equity Value (M)	34,353.69	35,944.16	37,594.04
Shares Outstanding (M)	858.48	858.48	858.48
Fair Value	$40.02	$41.87	$43.79
Upside / Downside	-23.79%	-20.26%	-16.60%

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Megacable Holdings, S. A. B. de C. V. (MEGACPO.MX)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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