DDM Analysis: MEDICAB.MX

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$181.47 - $890.62	$385.46
Multi-Stage	$115.63 - $126.63	$121.03
Blended Fair Value	$253.25
Current Price	$34.00
Upside	644.85%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	161.89%	32.38%	1.41	6.17	28.26	1.51	0.00	0.01	0.68	0.77	0.76	0.94
YoY Growth	-	-	-77.08%	-78.17%	1,767.84%	86,938.16%	-84.85%	-98.32%	-11.14%	1.75%	-19.78%	1,000.41%
Dividend Yield	-	-	4.16%	14.87%	70.85%	3.15%	0.01%	0.07%	2.44%	1.93%	1.94%	2.27%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	481.94
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	143.43
(=) Cash Retained (M)	338.51

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	96.39	60.24	36.15
Cash Retained (M)	338.51	338.51	338.51
(-) Cash Required (M)	-96.39	-60.24	-36.15
(=) Excess Retained (M)	242.12	278.27	302.37
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	106.86	106.86	106.86
(=) Excess Retained per Share	2.27	2.60	2.83
LTM Dividend per Share	1.34	1.34	1.34
(+) Excess Retained per Share	2.27	2.60	2.83
(=) Adjusted Dividend	3.61	3.95	4.17
WACC / Discount Rate	6.83%	6.83%	6.83%
Growth Rate	4.75%	5.75%	6.75%
Fair Value	$181.47	$385.46	$890.62
Upside / Downside	433.72%	1,033.72%	2,519.47%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	481.94	509.63	538.91	569.87	602.61	637.24	656.36
Payout Ratio	29.76%	41.81%	53.86%	65.90%	77.95%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	143.43	213.07	290.24	375.57	469.75	573.51	607.13

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.83%	6.83%	6.83%
Growth Rate	4.75%	5.75%	6.75%
Year 1 PV (M)	197.56	199.45	201.33
Year 2 PV (M)	249.53	254.32	259.15
Year 3 PV (M)	299.40	308.06	316.88
Year 4 PV (M)	347.23	360.68	374.52
Year 5 PV (M)	393.08	412.21	432.07
PV of Terminal Value (M)	10,870.09	11,398.97	11,948.25
Equity Value (M)	12,356.90	12,933.69	13,532.20
Shares Outstanding (M)	106.86	106.86	106.86
Fair Value	$115.63	$121.03	$126.63
Upside / Downside	240.10%	255.98%	272.45%

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Médica Sur, S.A.B. de C.V. (MEDICAB.MX)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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