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Definitive Analysis

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PT. Mitra Adiperkasa Tbk (MAPI.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Department StoresSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$18,634.49 - $21,954.59$20,574.67
Multi-Stage$193,612.58 - $212,629.11$202,942.61
Blended Fair Value$111,758.64
Current Price$1,180.00
Upside9,371.07%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS1.33%18.20%10.6610.130.000.000.009.983.992.500.000.00
YoY Growth--5.28%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%150.04%60.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%
Dividend Yield--0.79%0.55%0.00%0.00%0.00%2.11%0.40%0.32%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,829,206.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)176,822.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,652,384.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)365,841.20228,650.75137,190.45
Cash Retained (M)1,652,384.001,652,384.001,652,384.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-365,841.20-228,650.75-137,190.45
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,286,542.801,423,733.251,515,193.55
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)16,569.8116,569.8116,569.81
(=) Excess Retained per Share77.6485.9291.44
LTM Dividend per Share10.6710.6710.67
(+) Excess Retained per Share77.6485.9291.44
(=) Adjusted Dividend88.3296.59102.11
WACC / Discount Rate-40.89%-40.89%-40.89%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$18,634.49$20,574.67$21,954.59
Upside / Downside1,479.19%1,643.62%1,760.56%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,829,206.001,948,104.392,074,731.182,209,588.702,353,211.972,506,170.752,581,355.87
Payout Ratio9.67%25.73%41.80%57.87%73.93%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)176,822.00501,311.13867,236.781,278,614.731,739,807.732,255,553.672,387,754.18

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate-40.89%-40.89%-40.89%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)840,074.30848,037.08855,999.87
Year 2 PV (M)2,435,333.152,481,719.412,528,543.27
Year 3 PV (M)6,016,871.546,189,594.306,365,591.32
Year 4 PV (M)13,719,637.5514,247,256.1014,789,948.33
Year 5 PV (M)29,806,082.1631,245,727.0832,740,470.59
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,155,304,975.543,307,707,385.683,465,942,594.79
Equity Value (M)3,208,122,974.243,362,719,719.653,523,223,148.18
Shares Outstanding (M)16,569.8116,569.8116,569.81
Fair Value$193,612.58$202,942.61$212,629.11
Upside / Downside16,307.85%17,098.53%17,919.42%

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