DDM Analysis: KMSMEDI.BO

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$19.94 - $36.68	$26.84
Multi-Stage	$17.64 - $19.31	$18.46
Blended Fair Value	$22.65
Current Price	$125.00
Upside	-81.88%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	-3.67%	18.59%	0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.05	0.06	0.05	0.12	0.05	0.11
YoY Growth	-	-	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	-100.00%	-17.05%	20.56%	-59.26%	145.45%	-54.17%	1,100.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.04%	0.04%	0.08%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	4.40
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	0.17
(=) Cash Retained (M)	4.23

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	0.88	0.55	0.33
Cash Retained (M)	4.23	4.23	4.23
(-) Cash Required (M)	-0.88	-0.55	-0.33
(=) Excess Retained (M)	3.35	3.68	3.90
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	3.30	3.30	3.30
(=) Excess Retained per Share	1.02	1.12	1.18
LTM Dividend per Share	0.05	0.05	0.05
(+) Excess Retained per Share	1.02	1.12	1.18
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1.07	1.17	1.23
WACC / Discount Rate	9.71%	9.71%	9.71%
Growth Rate	4.15%	5.15%	6.15%
Fair Value	$19.94	$26.84	$36.68
Upside / Downside	-84.05%	-78.53%	-70.66%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	4.40	4.62	4.86	5.11	5.38	5.65	5.82
Payout Ratio	3.75%	21.00%	38.25%	55.50%	72.75%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	0.17	0.97	1.86	2.84	3.91	5.09	5.39

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.71%	9.71%	9.71%
Growth Rate	4.15%	5.15%	6.15%
Year 1 PV (M)	0.88	0.89	0.89
Year 2 PV (M)	1.52	1.55	1.57
Year 3 PV (M)	2.09	2.15	2.21
Year 4 PV (M)	2.60	2.70	2.80
Year 5 PV (M)	3.05	3.20	3.36
PV of Terminal Value (M)	48.10	50.45	52.90
Equity Value (M)	58.23	60.93	63.74
Shares Outstanding (M)	3.30	3.30	3.30
Fair Value	$17.64	$18.46	$19.31
Upside / Downside	-85.88%	-85.23%	-84.55%

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KMS Medisurgi Limited (KMSMEDI.BO)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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