Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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PT Kabelindo Murni Tbk (KBLM.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electrical Equipment & PartsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$4,891.04 - $13,338.13$12,499.78
Multi-Stage$1,844.21 - $2,020.08$1,930.53
Blended Fair Value$7,215.15
Current Price$292.00
Upside2,370.94%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-3.06%0.00%7.987.950.007.939.199.329.324.542.804.66
YoY Growth--0.37%0.00%-100.00%-13.71%-1.47%0.05%105.48%62.21%-39.99%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.81%3.04%0.00%4.02%4.29%3.56%4.05%1.43%0.57%3.73%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)75,116.04
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)9,053.42
(=) Cash Retained (M)66,062.62
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)15,023.219,389.505,633.70
Cash Retained (M)66,062.6266,062.6266,062.62
(-) Cash Required (M)-15,023.21-9,389.50-5,633.70
(=) Excess Retained (M)51,039.4156,673.1160,428.92
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,120.001,120.001,120.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share45.5750.6053.95
LTM Dividend per Share8.088.088.08
(+) Excess Retained per Share45.5750.6053.95
(=) Adjusted Dividend53.6558.6862.04
WACC / Discount Rate6.66%6.66%6.66%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$4,891.04$12,499.78$13,338.13
Upside / Downside1,575.01%4,180.75%4,467.85%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)75,116.0479,998.5885,198.4990,736.3996,634.25102,915.48106,002.94
Payout Ratio12.05%27.64%43.23%58.82%74.41%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)9,053.4222,113.2636,832.6253,372.0871,906.0592,623.9398,052.72

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.66%6.66%6.66%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)20,538.3220,732.9920,927.67
Year 2 PV (M)31,772.9132,378.0932,988.99
Year 3 PV (M)42,761.2743,988.7945,239.58
Year 4 PV (M)53,507.4255,565.1757,681.70
Year 5 PV (M)64,015.3367,107.2970,317.59
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,852,919.651,942,416.362,035,338.32
Equity Value (M)2,065,514.892,162,188.692,262,493.85
Shares Outstanding (M)1,120.001,120.001,120.00
Fair Value$1,844.21$1,930.53$2,020.08
Upside / Downside531.58%561.14%591.81%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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