DDM Analysis: JD.L

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$12.28 - $31.96	$29.96
Multi-Stage	$4.50 - $4.93	$4.71
Blended Fair Value	$17.33
Current Price	$0.89
Upside	1,844.94%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	23.51%	13.73%	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	-4.19%	102.02%	66.44%	0.00%	-100.00%	5.03%	4.61%	4.83%	4.92%	4.22%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.04%	0.83%	0.29%	0.15%	0.00%	0.20%	0.33%	0.40%	0.40%	0.58%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	829.90
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	132.10
(=) Cash Retained (M)	697.80

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	165.98	103.74	62.24
Cash Retained (M)	697.80	697.80	697.80
(-) Cash Required (M)	-165.98	-103.74	-62.24
(=) Excess Retained (M)	531.82	594.06	635.56
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	5,163.45	5,163.45	5,163.45
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.10	0.12	0.12
LTM Dividend per Share	0.03	0.03	0.03
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.10	0.12	0.12
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.13	0.14	0.15
WACC / Discount Rate	6.60%	6.60%	6.60%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$12.28	$29.96	$31.96
Upside / Downside	1,278.29%	3,261.23%	3,486.67%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	829.90	883.84	941.29	1,002.48	1,067.64	1,137.03	1,171.15
Payout Ratio	15.92%	30.73%	45.55%	60.37%	75.18%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	132.10	271.64	428.76	605.17	802.69	1,023.33	1,083.31

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.60%	6.60%	6.60%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	252.42	254.81	257.20
Year 2 PV (M)	370.23	377.28	384.40
Year 3 PV (M)	485.58	499.52	513.72
Year 4 PV (M)	598.49	621.51	645.18
Year 5 PV (M)	709.02	743.26	778.82
PV of Terminal Value (M)	20,823.93	21,829.73	22,874.03
Equity Value (M)	23,239.67	24,326.12	25,453.36
Shares Outstanding (M)	5,163.45	5,163.45	5,163.45
Fair Value	$4.50	$4.71	$4.93
Upside / Downside	405.03%	428.64%	453.13%

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JD Sports Fashion plc (JD.L)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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