DDM Analysis: IDPR.JK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$105.47 - $156.87	$129.97
Multi-Stage	$270.09 - $297.24	$283.40
Blended Fair Value	$206.69
Current Price	$192.00
Upside	7.65%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-12.94%	0.00%	5.00	1.00	1.00	5.00	0.00	10.00	15.00	10.00	5.00	37.03
YoY Growth	-	-	400.00%	0.00%	-80.00%	0.00%	-100.00%	-33.33%	50.00%	100.00%	-86.50%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.89%	0.67%	0.60%	2.87%	0.00%	3.85%	3.42%	1.18%	0.32%	2.60%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	26,434.55
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	20,030.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	6,404.55

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	5,286.91	3,304.32	1,982.59
Cash Retained (M)	6,404.55	6,404.55	6,404.55
(-) Cash Required (M)	-5,286.91	-3,304.32	-1,982.59
(=) Excess Retained (M)	1,117.64	3,100.23	4,421.96
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	2,003.00	2,003.00	2,003.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.56	1.55	2.21
LTM Dividend per Share	10.00	10.00	10.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.56	1.55	2.21
(=) Adjusted Dividend	10.56	11.55	12.21
WACC / Discount Rate	6.42%	6.42%	6.42%
Growth Rate	-3.26%	-2.26%	-1.26%
Fair Value	$105.47	$129.97	$156.87
Upside / Downside	-45.07%	-32.30%	-18.30%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	26,434.55	25,836.13	25,251.27	24,679.64	24,120.95	23,574.92	24,282.16
Payout Ratio	75.77%	78.62%	81.46%	84.31%	87.15%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	20,030.00	20,311.76	20,570.50	20,807.11	21,022.48	21,217.42	22,461.00

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.42%	6.42%	6.42%
Growth Rate	-3.26%	-2.26%	-1.26%
Year 1 PV (M)	18,891.17	19,086.46	19,281.74
Year 2 PV (M)	17,793.75	18,163.53	18,537.12
Year 3 PV (M)	16,739.63	17,264.15	17,799.51
Year 4 PV (M)	15,730.02	16,390.60	17,071.77
Year 5 PV (M)	14,765.54	15,544.67	16,356.34
PV of Terminal Value (M)	457,078.42	481,196.92	506,322.96
Equity Value (M)	540,998.52	567,646.32	595,369.45
Shares Outstanding (M)	2,003.00	2,003.00	2,003.00
Fair Value	$270.09	$283.40	$297.24
Upside / Downside	40.67%	47.60%	54.81%

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PT Indonesia Pondasi Raya Tbk (IDPR.JK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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