Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Helios Underwriting plc (HUW.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Insurance - Property & CasualtySector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$9.57 - $22.31$14.04
Multi-Stage$6.77 - $7.40$7.08
Blended Fair Value$10.56
Current Price$2.71
Upside289.66%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS52.89%27.67%0.060.030.030.030.000.010.000.010.000.00
YoY Growth--90.56%14.01%0.79%0.00%-100.00%141.55%-72.73%168.56%-6.85%-16.41%
Dividend Yield--2.14%1.99%1.62%1.58%0.00%0.52%0.22%0.77%0.26%0.21%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)35.01
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)6.74
(=) Cash Retained (M)28.27
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)7.004.382.63
Cash Retained (M)28.2728.2728.27
(-) Cash Required (M)-7.00-4.38-2.63
(=) Excess Retained (M)21.2723.8925.65
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)76.3576.3576.35
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.280.310.34
LTM Dividend per Share0.090.090.09
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.280.310.34
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.370.400.42
WACC / Discount Rate9.54%9.54%9.54%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$9.57$14.04$22.31
Upside / Downside253.13%417.98%723.12%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)35.0137.2839.7142.2945.0447.9749.40
Payout Ratio19.25%33.40%47.55%61.70%75.85%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)6.7412.4518.8826.0934.1643.1745.70

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.54%9.54%9.54%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)11.2611.3711.47
Year 2 PV (M)15.4415.7316.03
Year 3 PV (M)19.3019.8520.41
Year 4 PV (M)22.8423.7224.63
Year 5 PV (M)26.1127.3728.68
PV of Terminal Value (M)422.31442.71463.89
Equity Value (M)517.26540.75565.11
Shares Outstanding (M)76.3576.3576.35
Fair Value$6.77$7.08$7.40
Upside / Downside149.99%161.35%173.12%

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