Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Götenehus Group AB (publ) (GHUS-B.ST)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Residential ConstructionSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$10.94 - $28.86$16.71
Multi-Stage$14.20 - $15.61$14.89
Blended Fair Value$15.80
Current Price$2.39
Upside561.08%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2022202120202019201820172016201520142013
DPS9.73%0.00%0.110.110.000.110.110.070.040.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%-100.00%2.55%55.16%100.76%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.78%2.23%0.00%3.61%2.84%1.58%0.68%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)59.27
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)0.01
(=) Cash Retained (M)59.26
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)11.857.414.45
Cash Retained (M)59.2659.2659.26
(-) Cash Required (M)-11.85-7.41-4.45
(=) Excess Retained (M)47.4151.8554.81
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)122.61122.61122.61
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.390.420.45
LTM Dividend per Share0.000.000.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.390.420.45
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.390.420.45
WACC / Discount Rate5.97%5.97%5.97%
Growth Rate2.35%3.35%4.35%
Fair Value$10.94$16.71$28.86
Upside / Downside357.88%598.95%1,107.51%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)59.2761.2563.3065.4267.6269.8871.98
Payout Ratio0.01%18.01%36.01%54.01%72.00%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)0.0111.0322.7935.3348.6962.8966.58

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.97%5.97%5.97%
Growth Rate2.35%3.35%4.35%
Year 1 PV (M)10.3110.4110.51
Year 2 PV (M)19.9120.3020.70
Year 3 PV (M)28.8429.6930.57
Year 4 PV (M)37.1438.6140.13
Year 5 PV (M)44.8447.0749.39
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,600.491,680.221,763.09
Equity Value (M)1,741.531,826.311,914.39
Shares Outstanding (M)122.61122.61122.61
Fair Value$14.20$14.89$15.61
Upside / Downside494.28%523.21%553.27%

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