DDM Analysis: G92.SI

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$0.83 - $1.24	$1.02
Multi-Stage	$1.98 - $2.18	$2.08
Blended Fair Value	$1.55
Current Price	$0.72
Upside	116.43%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	2.33%	8.83%	0.04	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.03	0.03	0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01
YoY Growth	-	-	209.74%	-13.01%	-29.29%	-41.87%	1.32%	-2.39%	5.31%	43.77%	50.81%	-6.78%
Dividend Yield	-	-	5.77%	1.74%	1.87%	2.80%	4.18%	3.51%	3.32%	2.70%	2.05%	2.55%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	85.99
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	25.97
(=) Cash Retained (M)	60.02

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	17.20	10.75	6.45
Cash Retained (M)	60.02	60.02	60.02
(-) Cash Required (M)	-17.20	-10.75	-6.45
(=) Excess Retained (M)	42.82	49.27	53.57
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	859.96	859.96	859.96
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.05	0.06	0.06
LTM Dividend per Share	0.03	0.03	0.03
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.05	0.06	0.06
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.08	0.09	0.09
WACC / Discount Rate	6.46%	6.46%	6.46%
Growth Rate	-2.94%	-1.94%	-0.94%
Fair Value	$0.83	$1.02	$1.24
Upside / Downside	15.39%	42.67%	72.94%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	85.99	84.31	82.68	81.07	79.49	77.95	80.29
Payout Ratio	30.20%	42.16%	54.12%	66.08%	78.04%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	25.97	35.55	44.75	53.57	62.04	70.15	74.27

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.46%	6.46%	6.46%
Growth Rate	-2.94%	-1.94%	-0.94%
Year 1 PV (M)	33.05	33.39	33.73
Year 2 PV (M)	38.68	39.48	40.29
Year 3 PV (M)	43.05	44.40	45.77
Year 4 PV (M)	46.35	48.29	50.29
Year 5 PV (M)	48.73	51.29	53.96
PV of Terminal Value (M)	1,489.91	1,568.26	1,649.88
Equity Value (M)	1,699.77	1,785.11	1,873.92
Shares Outstanding (M)	859.96	859.96	859.96
Fair Value	$1.98	$2.08	$2.18
Upside / Downside	176.31%	190.18%	204.62%

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China Aviation Oil (Singapore) Corporation Ltd (G92.SI)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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