Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Fairvest Limited (FTB.JO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: REIT - RetailSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$8.80 - $12.61$10.66
Multi-Stage$13.59 - $14.95$14.26
Blended Fair Value$12.46
Current Price$4.71
Upside164.54%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,976.36
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)173.46
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,802.91
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)395.27247.05148.23
Cash Retained (M)1,802.911,802.911,802.91
(-) Cash Required (M)-395.27-247.05-148.23
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,407.631,555.861,654.68
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,557.631,557.631,557.63
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.901.001.06
LTM Dividend per Share0.110.110.11
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.901.001.06
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.021.111.17
WACC / Discount Rate9.31%9.31%9.31%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$8.80$10.66$12.61
Upside / Downside86.74%126.35%167.66%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,976.361,956.601,937.031,917.661,898.491,879.501,935.89
Payout Ratio8.78%25.02%41.27%57.51%73.76%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)173.46489.57799.341,102.861,400.241,691.551,790.70

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.31%9.31%9.31%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)443.35447.87452.39
Year 2 PV (M)655.53668.98682.56
Year 3 PV (M)819.06844.39870.24
Year 4 PV (M)941.73980.761,020.99
Year 5 PV (M)1,030.251,083.901,139.76
PV of Terminal Value (M)17,284.6618,184.7119,121.87
Equity Value (M)21,174.5722,210.6123,287.81
Shares Outstanding (M)1,557.631,557.631,557.63
Fair Value$13.59$14.26$14.95
Upside / Downside188.62%202.74%217.43%

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