DDM Analysis: CNTL.ME

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$3.24 - $4.22	$3.75
Multi-Stage	$5.78 - $6.41	$6.09
Blended Fair Value	$4.92
Current Price	$10.64
Upside	-53.74%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-52.12%	-1.76%	0.25	0.05	2.08	0.13	15.64	10.10	0.04	0.01	0.01	0.19
YoY Growth	-	-	376.70%	-97.43%	1,509.68%	-99.18%	54.80%	24,161.24%	197.21%	76.41%	-95.84%	-37.07%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.39%	0.32%	13.50%	1.19%	91.86%	53.44%	0.29%	0.08%	0.04%	0.97%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	152.76
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	0.12
(=) Cash Retained (M)	152.64

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	30.55	19.09	11.46
Cash Retained (M)	152.64	152.64	152.64
(-) Cash Required (M)	-30.55	-19.09	-11.46
(=) Excess Retained (M)	122.08	133.54	141.18
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	155.92	155.92	155.92
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.78	0.86	0.91
LTM Dividend per Share	0.00	0.00	0.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.78	0.86	0.91
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.78	0.86	0.91
WACC / Discount Rate	9.95%	9.95%	9.95%
Growth Rate	-11.49%	-10.49%	-9.49%
Fair Value	$3.24	$3.75	$4.22
Upside / Downside	-69.59%	-64.72%	-60.34%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	152.76	136.74	122.40	109.56	98.08	87.79	90.42
Payout Ratio	0.08%	18.06%	36.05%	54.03%	72.02%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	0.12	24.70	44.12	59.20	70.63	79.01	83.64

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.95%	9.95%	9.95%
Growth Rate	-11.49%	-10.49%	-9.49%
Year 1 PV (M)	22.21	22.46	22.72
Year 2 PV (M)	35.68	36.50	37.32
Year 3 PV (M)	43.06	44.53	46.04
Year 4 PV (M)	46.20	48.32	50.52
Year 5 PV (M)	46.48	49.16	51.97
PV of Terminal Value (M)	707.51	748.39	791.14
Equity Value (M)	901.14	949.37	999.70
Shares Outstanding (M)	155.92	155.92	155.92
Fair Value	$5.78	$6.09	$6.41
Upside / Downside	-45.68%	-42.77%	-39.74%

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Central Telegraph Public Joint Stock Company (CNTL.ME)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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