DDM Analysis: CHC.AX

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$95.81 - $242.79	$227.52
Multi-Stage	$36.24 - $39.65	$37.92
Blended Fair Value	$132.72
Current Price	$19.19
Upside	591.61%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	6.32%	10.31%	0.46	0.43	0.41	0.38	0.36	0.34	0.32	0.30	0.24	0.22
YoY Growth	-	-	5.99%	5.99%	7.66%	5.95%	6.00%	3.99%	6.37%	26.43%	11.50%	25.96%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.38%	3.83%	3.80%	3.49%	2.30%	3.47%	2.95%	4.67%	4.38%	4.27%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	586.70
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	315.80
(=) Cash Retained (M)	270.90

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	117.34	73.34	44.00
Cash Retained (M)	270.90	270.90	270.90
(-) Cash Required (M)	-117.34	-73.34	-44.00
(=) Excess Retained (M)	153.56	197.56	226.89
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	480.17	480.17	480.17
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.32	0.41	0.47
LTM Dividend per Share	0.66	0.66	0.66
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.32	0.41	0.47
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.98	1.07	1.13
WACC / Discount Rate	6.48%	6.48%	6.48%
Growth Rate	5.41%	6.41%	7.41%
Fair Value	$95.81	$227.52	$242.79
Upside / Downside	399.28%	1,085.64%	1,165.17%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	586.70	624.29	664.28	706.84	752.13	800.32	824.33
Payout Ratio	53.83%	61.06%	68.30%	75.53%	82.77%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	315.80	381.20	453.68	533.88	622.50	720.29	762.50

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.48%	6.48%	6.48%
Growth Rate	5.41%	6.41%	7.41%
Year 1 PV (M)	354.63	357.99	361.36
Year 2 PV (M)	392.64	400.12	407.68
Year 3 PV (M)	429.85	442.20	454.78
Year 4 PV (M)	466.26	484.21	502.67
Year 5 PV (M)	501.90	526.16	551.35
PV of Terminal Value (M)	15,257.72	15,995.34	16,761.21
Equity Value (M)	17,402.99	18,206.02	19,039.05
Shares Outstanding (M)	480.17	480.17	480.17
Fair Value	$36.24	$37.92	$39.65
Upside / Downside	88.87%	97.58%	106.62%

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Charter Hall Group (CHC.AX)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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