DDM Analysis: CCL-A.TO

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$473.97 - $912.54	$855.19
Multi-Stage	$141.29 - $154.73	$147.89
Blended Fair Value	$501.54
Current Price	$79.41
Upside	531.58%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	11.25%	18.46%	1.17	1.06	0.96	0.85	0.73	0.69	0.52	0.46	0.40	0.30
YoY Growth	-	-	9.67%	10.51%	12.78%	17.33%	6.28%	31.34%	13.55%	15.71%	34.19%	37.83%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.66%	1.53%	1.43%	1.51%	1.05%	1.60%	0.95%	0.71%	0.68%	0.60%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	811.10
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	219.20
(=) Cash Retained (M)	591.90

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	162.22	101.39	60.83
Cash Retained (M)	591.90	591.90	591.90
(-) Cash Required (M)	-162.22	-101.39	-60.83
(=) Excess Retained (M)	429.68	490.51	531.07
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	176.77	176.77	176.77
(=) Excess Retained per Share	2.43	2.77	3.00
LTM Dividend per Share	1.24	1.24	1.24
(+) Excess Retained per Share	2.43	2.77	3.00
(=) Adjusted Dividend	3.67	4.01	4.24
WACC / Discount Rate	6.32%	6.32%	6.32%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$473.97	$855.19	$912.54
Upside / Downside	496.87%	976.93%	1,049.16%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	811.10	863.82	919.97	979.77	1,043.45	1,111.28	1,144.62
Payout Ratio	27.03%	39.62%	52.22%	64.81%	77.41%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	219.20	342.25	480.36	634.99	807.68	1,000.15	1,058.77

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.32%	6.32%	6.32%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	318.89	321.91	324.93
Year 2 PV (M)	417.03	424.97	432.99
Year 3 PV (M)	513.65	528.39	543.42
Year 4 PV (M)	608.75	632.16	656.24
Year 5 PV (M)	702.37	736.29	771.51
PV of Terminal Value (M)	22,415.33	23,498.00	24,622.10
Equity Value (M)	24,976.02	26,141.73	27,351.21
Shares Outstanding (M)	176.77	176.77	176.77
Fair Value	$141.29	$147.89	$154.73
Upside / Downside	77.93%	86.23%	94.85%

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CCL Industries Inc. (CCL-A.TO)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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