DDM Analysis: BBLD.JK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$302.40 - $477.35	$382.41
Multi-Stage	$628.66 - $691.69	$659.56
Blended Fair Value	$520.98
Current Price	$745.00
Upside	-30.07%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	7.39%	-10.40%	19.98	15.99	6.00	4.00	0.00	13.99	15.99	15.99	17.99	59.96
YoY Growth	-	-	25.00%	166.67%	50.00%	0.00%	-100.00%	-12.50%	0.00%	-11.11%	-70.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	3.33%	2.91%	1.18%	0.99%	0.00%	3.19%	3.52%	3.14%	2.10%	4.61%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	49,898.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	19,755.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	30,143.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	9,979.60	6,237.25	3,742.35
Cash Retained (M)	30,143.00	30,143.00	30,143.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-9,979.60	-6,237.25	-3,742.35
(=) Excess Retained (M)	20,163.40	23,905.75	26,400.65
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	1,645.80	1,645.80	1,645.80
(=) Excess Retained per Share	12.25	14.53	16.04
LTM Dividend per Share	12.00	12.00	12.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share	12.25	14.53	16.04
(=) Adjusted Dividend	24.25	26.53	28.04
WACC / Discount Rate	6.60%	6.60%	6.60%
Growth Rate	-1.32%	-0.32%	0.68%
Fair Value	$302.40	$382.41	$477.35
Upside / Downside	-59.41%	-48.67%	-35.93%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	49,898.00	49,739.20	49,580.91	49,423.12	49,265.83	49,109.04	50,582.32
Payout Ratio	39.59%	49.67%	59.75%	69.84%	79.92%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	19,755.00	24,706.76	29,626.80	34,515.28	39,372.34	44,198.14	46,788.64

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.60%	6.60%	6.60%
Growth Rate	-1.32%	-0.32%	0.68%
Year 1 PV (M)	22,945.24	23,177.76	23,410.28
Year 2 PV (M)	25,552.80	26,073.31	26,599.06
Year 3 PV (M)	27,646.61	28,495.64	29,361.87
Year 4 PV (M)	29,288.60	30,493.96	31,736.15
Year 5 PV (M)	30,534.32	32,113.10	33,756.53
PV of Terminal Value (M)	898,675.68	945,141.96	993,510.71
Equity Value (M)	1,034,643.25	1,085,495.73	1,138,374.60
Shares Outstanding (M)	1,645.80	1,645.80	1,645.80
Fair Value	$628.66	$659.56	$691.69
Upside / Downside	-15.62%	-11.47%	-7.16%

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PT Buana Finance Tbk (BBLD.JK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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