DDM Analysis: ALVIV.PA

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$202.14 - $915.70	$465.12
Multi-Stage	$105.27 - $115.13	$110.11
Blended Fair Value	$287.61
Current Price	$27.10
Upside	961.31%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015	2014
DPS	0.00%	0.00%	1.10	0.46	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	138.10%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	4.05%	1.71%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	21.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	7.10
(=) Cash Retained (M)	13.90

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	4.20	2.63	1.58
Cash Retained (M)	13.90	13.90	13.90
(-) Cash Required (M)	-4.20	-2.63	-1.58
(=) Excess Retained (M)	9.70	11.28	12.33
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	4.56	4.56	4.56
(=) Excess Retained per Share	2.13	2.47	2.70
LTM Dividend per Share	1.56	1.56	1.56
(+) Excess Retained per Share	2.13	2.47	2.70
(=) Adjusted Dividend	3.68	4.03	4.26
WACC / Discount Rate	7.42%	7.42%	7.42%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$202.14	$465.12	$915.70
Upside / Downside	645.90%	1,616.29%	3,278.97%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	21.00	22.37	23.82	25.37	27.02	28.77	29.63
Payout Ratio	33.81%	45.05%	56.29%	67.52%	78.76%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	7.10	10.07	13.41	17.13	21.28	25.89	27.41

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.42%	7.42%	7.42%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	9.29	9.38	9.47
Year 2 PV (M)	11.40	11.62	11.84
Year 3 PV (M)	13.43	13.82	14.21
Year 4 PV (M)	15.39	15.98	16.59
Year 5 PV (M)	17.27	18.10	18.97
PV of Terminal Value (M)	413.35	433.31	454.04
Equity Value (M)	480.13	502.21	525.11
Shares Outstanding (M)	4.56	4.56	4.56
Fair Value	$105.27	$110.11	$115.13
Upside / Downside	288.45%	306.32%	324.85%

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Visiativ S.A. (ALVIV.PA)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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