Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Fukuyama Transporting Co., Ltd. (9075.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: TruckingSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,314.26 - $1,940.78$1,614.37
Multi-Stage$1,821.19 - $1,997.31$1,907.57
Blended Fair Value$1,760.97
Current Price$3,680.00
Upside-52.15%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS1.98%2.56%78.5473.4268.2363.1463.6671.2065.9066.1963.7863.16
YoY Growth--6.97%7.61%8.06%-0.81%-10.60%8.04%-0.43%3.77%0.98%3.52%
Dividend Yield--2.33%1.87%1.71%2.05%1.54%1.89%1.64%1.17%1.79%2.34%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)6,330.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,393.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)4,937.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,266.00791.25474.75
Cash Retained (M)4,937.004,937.004,937.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,266.00-791.25-474.75
(=) Excess Retained (M)3,671.004,145.754,462.25
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)38.6938.6938.69
(=) Excess Retained per Share94.88107.15115.33
LTM Dividend per Share36.0036.0036.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share94.88107.15115.33
(=) Adjusted Dividend130.88143.15151.33
WACC / Discount Rate9.70%9.70%9.70%
Growth Rate-0.23%0.77%1.77%
Fair Value$1,314.26$1,614.37$1,940.78
Upside / Downside-64.29%-56.13%-47.26%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)6,330.006,378.436,427.226,476.396,525.946,575.866,773.14
Payout Ratio22.01%35.61%49.20%62.80%76.40%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,393.002,271.043,162.444,067.344,985.905,918.286,265.15

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.70%9.70%9.70%
Growth Rate-0.23%0.77%1.77%
Year 1 PV (M)2,049.692,070.232,090.78
Year 2 PV (M)2,576.002,627.902,680.32
Year 3 PV (M)2,990.183,081.003,173.64
Year 4 PV (M)3,308.213,442.863,581.57
Year 5 PV (M)3,544.113,725.333,913.89
PV of Terminal Value (M)55,998.4958,861.8461,841.14
Equity Value (M)70,466.6873,809.1677,281.34
Shares Outstanding (M)38.6938.6938.69
Fair Value$1,821.19$1,907.57$1,997.31
Upside / Downside-50.51%-48.16%-45.73%

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