DDM Analysis: 7715.T

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$47,151.56 - $55,552.53	$52,060.86
Multi-Stage	$36,060.03 - $39,585.29	$37,789.70
Blended Fair Value	$44,925.28
Current Price	$2,060.00
Upside	2,080.84%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	16.00%	15.86%	46.96	38.28	34.21	22.12	22.38	22.35	27.44	20.25	20.27	17.87
YoY Growth	-	-	22.69%	11.88%	54.68%	-1.19%	0.13%	-18.52%	35.50%	-0.12%	13.45%	65.78%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.36%	1.11%	1.45%	1.99%	2.05%	2.29%	3.58%	1.66%	2.64%	3.14%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	5,335.54
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	217.31
(=) Cash Retained (M)	5,118.23

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	1,067.11	666.94	400.17
Cash Retained (M)	5,118.23	5,118.23	5,118.23
(-) Cash Required (M)	-1,067.11	-666.94	-400.17
(=) Excess Retained (M)	4,051.12	4,451.29	4,718.07
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	19.10	19.10	19.10
(=) Excess Retained per Share	212.09	233.04	247.01
LTM Dividend per Share	11.38	11.38	11.38
(+) Excess Retained per Share	212.09	233.04	247.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend	223.47	244.42	258.38
WACC / Discount Rate	-0.19%	-0.19%	-0.19%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$47,151.56	$52,060.86	$55,552.53
Upside / Downside	2,188.91%	2,427.23%	2,596.72%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	5,335.54	5,682.35	6,051.70	6,445.06	6,863.99	7,310.15	7,529.46
Payout Ratio	4.07%	21.26%	38.44%	55.63%	72.81%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	217.31	1,207.97	2,326.50	3,585.33	4,997.99	6,579.14	6,964.75

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	-0.19%	-0.19%	-0.19%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	1,198.86	1,210.22	1,221.58
Year 2 PV (M)	2,291.53	2,335.18	2,379.24
Year 3 PV (M)	3,504.81	3,605.42	3,707.94
Year 4 PV (M)	4,848.89	5,035.36	5,227.17
Year 5 PV (M)	6,334.73	6,640.70	6,958.38
PV of Terminal Value (M)	670,601.43	702,991.73	736,621.68
Equity Value (M)	688,780.25	721,818.62	756,115.99
Shares Outstanding (M)	19.10	19.10	19.10
Fair Value	$36,060.03	$37,789.70	$39,585.29
Upside / Downside	1,650.49%	1,734.45%	1,821.62%

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Nagano Keiki Co., Ltd. (7715.T)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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