Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Daido Metal Co., Ltd. (7245.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - PartsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,341.72 - $3,437.89$2,029.79
Multi-Stage$1,540.30 - $1,689.79$1,613.64
Blended Fair Value$1,821.71
Current Price$664.00
Upside174.35%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-10.61%1.78%20.104.0325.1520.1225.1735.2127.7425.3223.6519.36
YoY Growth--398.42%-83.97%25.00%-20.07%-28.51%26.93%9.56%7.07%22.14%14.89%
Dividend Yield--3.03%0.65%5.12%3.87%4.21%6.45%4.11%2.24%2.33%1.99%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,846.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)854.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,992.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)569.20355.75213.45
Cash Retained (M)1,992.001,992.001,992.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-569.20-355.75-213.45
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,422.801,636.251,778.55
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)47.1147.1147.11
(=) Excess Retained per Share30.2034.7337.75
LTM Dividend per Share18.1318.1318.13
(+) Excess Retained per Share30.2034.7337.75
(=) Adjusted Dividend48.3352.8655.88
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate2.83%3.83%4.83%
Fair Value$1,341.72$2,029.79$3,437.89
Upside / Downside102.07%205.69%417.75%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,846.002,955.113,068.403,186.033,308.173,435.003,538.05
Payout Ratio30.01%42.01%54.00%66.00%78.00%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)854.001,241.311,657.062,102.872,580.423,091.503,272.69

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate2.83%3.83%4.83%
Year 1 PV (M)1,153.921,165.141,176.36
Year 2 PV (M)1,431.951,459.931,488.19
Year 3 PV (M)1,689.251,739.021,789.74
Year 4 PV (M)1,926.942,002.992,081.27
Year 5 PV (M)2,146.052,252.442,363.02
PV of Terminal Value (M)64,219.4567,403.2670,712.11
Equity Value (M)72,567.5576,022.7879,610.70
Shares Outstanding (M)47.1147.1147.11
Fair Value$1,540.30$1,613.64$1,689.79
Upside / Downside131.97%143.02%154.49%

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