Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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COPRO-HOLDINGS. Co., Ltd. (7059.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Staffing & Employment ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$461.82 - $693.34$571.40
Multi-Stage$385.34 - $419.37$402.06
Blended Fair Value$486.73
Current Price$1,127.00
Upside-56.81%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202520242023202220212020201920182017
DPS29.12%0.00%27.1617.009.659.267.347.573.192.453.270.00
YoY Growth--59.82%76.10%4.25%26.21%-3.07%137.05%30.43%-25.08%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.44%1.96%1.72%4.42%2.30%2.56%1.28%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,959.11
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)333.36
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,625.75
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)391.82244.89146.93
Cash Retained (M)1,625.751,625.751,625.75
(-) Cash Required (M)-391.82-244.89-146.93
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,233.931,380.861,478.82
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)38.5338.5338.53
(=) Excess Retained per Share32.0235.8438.38
LTM Dividend per Share8.658.658.65
(+) Excess Retained per Share32.0235.8438.38
(=) Adjusted Dividend40.6844.4947.03
WACC / Discount Rate14.79%14.79%14.79%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$461.82$571.40$693.34
Upside / Downside-59.02%-49.30%-38.48%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,959.112,086.452,222.072,366.512,520.332,684.152,764.68
Payout Ratio17.02%31.61%46.21%60.81%75.40%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)333.36659.581,026.811,438.991,900.412,415.742,557.33

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate14.79%14.79%14.79%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)569.19574.59579.98
Year 2 PV (M)764.66779.23793.93
Year 3 PV (M)924.76951.31978.36
Year 4 PV (M)1,053.931,094.461,136.15
Year 5 PV (M)1,156.121,211.961,269.94
PV of Terminal Value (M)10,378.8310,880.1311,400.62
Equity Value (M)14,847.5015,491.6816,158.98
Shares Outstanding (M)38.5338.5338.53
Fair Value$385.34$402.06$419.37
Upside / Downside-65.81%-64.33%-62.79%

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