DDM Analysis: 688618.SS

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$2.33 - $3.37	$2.83
Multi-Stage	$3.82 - $4.20	$4.00
Blended Fair Value	$3.42
Current Price	$25.73
Upside	-86.72%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017
DPS	0.00%	0.00%	0.38	0.21	0.19	0.19	0.00	0.00	0.36	0.45	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	79.65%	12.43%	-3.47%	4,390.02%	0.00%	-100.00%	-20.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.79%	0.62%	0.39%	1.02%	0.02%	0.00%	0.88%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	35.49
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	7.76
(=) Cash Retained (M)	27.72

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	7.10	4.44	2.66
Cash Retained (M)	27.72	27.72	27.72
(-) Cash Required (M)	-7.10	-4.44	-2.66
(=) Excess Retained (M)	20.63	23.29	25.06
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	110.40	110.40	110.40
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.19	0.21	0.23
LTM Dividend per Share	0.07	0.07	0.07
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.19	0.21	0.23
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.26	0.28	0.30
WACC / Discount Rate	8.83%	8.83%	8.83%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Fair Value	$2.33	$2.83	$3.37
Upside / Downside	-90.96%	-88.99%	-86.92%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	35.49	35.13	34.78	34.43	34.09	33.75	34.76
Payout Ratio	21.88%	35.50%	49.13%	62.75%	76.38%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	7.76	12.47	17.09	21.61	26.04	30.37	32.15

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	8.83%	8.83%	8.83%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)	11.35	11.46	11.58
Year 2 PV (M)	14.14	14.43	14.72
Year 3 PV (M)	16.26	16.76	17.28
Year 4 PV (M)	17.82	18.56	19.32
Year 5 PV (M)	18.91	19.89	20.92
PV of Terminal Value (M)	343.14	361.01	379.62
Equity Value (M)	421.61	442.11	463.43
Shares Outstanding (M)	110.40	110.40	110.40
Fair Value	$3.82	$4.00	$4.20
Upside / Downside	-85.16%	-84.44%	-83.69%

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3onedata Co., Ltd. (688618.SS)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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