Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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VisEra Technologies Company Ltd. (6789.TW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$47.75 - $73.30$59.66
Multi-Stage$102.44 - $112.88$107.56
Blended Fair Value$83.61
Current Price$231.50
Upside-63.88%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS-11.47%0.00%0.991.981.841.830.001.830.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---49.81%7.56%0.76%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.46%0.64%0.81%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,675.99
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)316.72
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,359.26
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)335.20209.50125.70
Cash Retained (M)1,359.261,359.261,359.26
(-) Cash Required (M)-335.20-209.50-125.70
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,024.061,149.761,233.56
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)318.52318.52318.52
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.223.613.87
LTM Dividend per Share0.990.990.99
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.223.613.87
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.214.604.87
WACC / Discount Rate6.64%6.64%6.64%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$47.75$59.66$73.30
Upside / Downside-79.38%-74.23%-68.34%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,675.991,659.231,642.631,626.211,609.941,593.851,641.66
Payout Ratio18.90%33.12%47.34%61.56%75.78%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)316.72549.51777.601,001.081,220.011,434.461,518.54

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.64%6.64%6.64%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)510.09515.29520.50
Year 2 PV (M)670.04683.78697.66
Year 3 PV (M)800.72825.48850.75
Year 4 PV (M)905.83943.37982.07
Year 5 PV (M)988.651,040.141,093.74
PV of Terminal Value (M)28,753.4430,250.6931,809.68
Equity Value (M)32,628.7734,258.7635,954.41
Shares Outstanding (M)318.52318.52318.52
Fair Value$102.44$107.56$112.88
Upside / Downside-55.75%-53.54%-51.24%

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