Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Nihon Trim Co., Ltd. (6788.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - Pollution & Treatment ControlsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$7,650.18 - $27,625.72$12,737.98
Multi-Stage$5,385.81 - $5,895.77$5,636.10
Blended Fair Value$9,187.04
Current Price$4,345.00
Upside111.44%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS7.76%4.91%89.74126.6859.9960.8071.9961.7663.5065.1765.7955.28
YoY Growth---29.16%111.16%-1.32%-15.55%16.56%-2.74%-2.57%-0.94%19.01%-0.55%
Dividend Yield--2.07%3.66%1.73%2.41%1.87%2.01%1.20%1.36%1.44%0.78%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,074.49
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)343.40
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,731.09
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)414.90259.31155.59
Cash Retained (M)1,731.091,731.091,731.09
(-) Cash Required (M)-414.90-259.31-155.59
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,316.191,471.781,575.50
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)7.667.667.66
(=) Excess Retained per Share171.76192.06205.60
LTM Dividend per Share44.8144.8144.81
(+) Excess Retained per Share171.76192.06205.60
(=) Adjusted Dividend216.57236.88250.41
WACC / Discount Rate7.83%7.83%7.83%
Growth Rate4.87%5.87%6.87%
Fair Value$7,650.18$12,737.98$27,625.72
Upside / Downside76.07%193.16%535.80%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,074.492,196.162,324.962,461.322,605.682,758.502,841.26
Payout Ratio16.55%31.24%45.93%60.62%75.31%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)343.40686.141,067.901,492.091,962.352,482.652,628.16

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.83%7.83%7.83%
Growth Rate4.87%5.87%6.87%
Year 1 PV (M)630.28636.29642.30
Year 2 PV (M)901.11918.38935.81
Year 3 PV (M)1,156.551,189.951,224.00
Year 4 PV (M)1,397.241,451.311,506.93
Year 5 PV (M)1,623.811,702.721,784.67
PV of Terminal Value (M)35,562.3237,290.6039,085.42
Equity Value (M)41,271.3243,189.2545,179.13
Shares Outstanding (M)7.667.667.66
Fair Value$5,385.81$5,636.10$5,895.77
Upside / Downside23.95%29.71%35.69%

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