Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Aurotek Corporation (6215.TW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$43.61 - $130.57$69.12
Multi-Stage$46.13 - $50.54$48.29
Blended Fair Value$58.70
Current Price$102.00
Upside-42.45%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS14.87%5.24%1.001.791.790.500.500.500.600.500.251.00
YoY Growth---44.44%0.00%260.00%0.00%0.00%-16.67%20.00%100.00%-75.00%66.67%
Dividend Yield--1.23%5.06%6.65%1.84%2.12%4.45%3.15%2.23%1.92%7.60%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)144.78
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)82.79
(=) Cash Retained (M)61.99
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)28.9618.1010.86
Cash Retained (M)61.9961.9961.99
(-) Cash Required (M)-28.96-18.10-10.86
(=) Excess Retained (M)33.0443.9051.14
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)83.1283.1283.12
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.400.530.62
LTM Dividend per Share1.001.001.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.400.530.62
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.391.521.61
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate3.24%4.24%5.24%
Fair Value$43.61$69.12$130.57
Upside / Downside-57.24%-32.24%28.01%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)144.78150.92157.32164.00170.95178.20183.55
Payout Ratio57.18%63.75%70.31%76.87%83.44%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)82.7996.21110.61126.07142.64160.38169.78

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate3.24%4.24%5.24%
Year 1 PV (M)89.4490.3091.17
Year 2 PV (M)95.5997.4599.33
Year 3 PV (M)101.28104.25107.28
Year 4 PV (M)106.52110.71115.02
Year 5 PV (M)111.34116.84122.56
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,330.043,494.473,665.34
Equity Value (M)3,834.214,014.034,200.69
Shares Outstanding (M)83.1283.1283.12
Fair Value$46.13$48.29$50.54
Upside / Downside-54.78%-52.66%-50.46%

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