DDM Analysis: 603217.SS

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$163.39 - $192.50	$180.40
Multi-Stage	$327.00 - $359.04	$342.72
Blended Fair Value	$261.56
Current Price	$22.83
Upside	1,045.68%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	0.00%	12.49%	0.39	0.50	0.50	0.23	0.26	0.00	0.04	0.04	0.08	0.11
YoY Growth	-	-	-20.91%	-0.01%	114.94%	-11.33%	0.00%	-100.00%	-5.48%	-48.45%	-25.65%	-13.06%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.29%	3.05%	1.62%	0.80%	1.67%	0.00%	0.11%	0.11%	0.22%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	202.60
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	25.16
(=) Cash Retained (M)	177.44

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	40.52	25.32	15.19
Cash Retained (M)	177.44	177.44	177.44
(-) Cash Required (M)	-40.52	-25.32	-15.19
(=) Excess Retained (M)	136.92	152.11	162.24
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	209.31	209.31	209.31
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.65	0.73	0.78
LTM Dividend per Share	0.12	0.12	0.12
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.65	0.73	0.78
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.77	0.85	0.90
WACC / Discount Rate	-17.73%	-17.73%	-17.73%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$163.39	$180.40	$192.50
Upside / Downside	615.66%	690.18%	743.17%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	202.60	215.76	229.79	244.73	260.63	277.57	285.90
Payout Ratio	12.42%	27.93%	43.45%	58.97%	74.48%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	25.16	60.27	99.84	144.31	194.13	249.82	264.46

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	-17.73%	-17.73%	-17.73%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	72.57	73.26	73.95
Year 2 PV (M)	144.76	147.52	150.30
Year 3 PV (M)	251.92	259.15	266.52
Year 4 PV (M)	408.06	423.76	439.90
Year 5 PV (M)	632.29	662.83	694.54
PV of Terminal Value (M)	66,935.30	70,168.30	73,525.04
Equity Value (M)	68,444.91	71,734.82	75,150.25
Shares Outstanding (M)	209.31	209.31	209.31
Fair Value	$327.00	$342.72	$359.04
Upside / Downside	1,332.34%	1,401.19%	1,472.67%

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Yuanli Chemical Group Co.,Ltd. (603217.SS)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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