DDM Analysis: 601766.SS

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$84.47 - $99.63	$93.31
Multi-Stage	$77.58 - $85.64	$81.53
Blended Fair Value	$87.42
Current Price	$7.47
Upside	1,070.33%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	9.53%	7.46%	0.24	0.24	0.18	0.18	0.15	0.15	0.21	0.26	0.18	0.18
YoY Growth	-	-	-0.69%	32.30%	0.00%	20.00%	0.00%	-26.37%	-21.72%	41.72%	5.43%	51.20%
Dividend Yield	-	-	3.37%	3.49%	2.96%	3.36%	2.35%	2.30%	2.22%	2.61%	1.81%	1.71%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	15,106.81
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	732.75
(=) Cash Retained (M)	14,374.06

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	3,021.36	1,888.35	1,133.01
Cash Retained (M)	14,374.06	14,374.06	14,374.06
(-) Cash Required (M)	-3,021.36	-1,888.35	-1,133.01
(=) Excess Retained (M)	11,352.70	12,485.71	13,241.05
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	28,490.07	28,490.07	28,490.07
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.40	0.44	0.46
LTM Dividend per Share	0.03	0.03	0.03
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.40	0.44	0.46
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.42	0.46	0.49
WACC / Discount Rate	-8.15%	-8.15%	-8.15%
Growth Rate	-0.44%	0.56%	1.56%
Fair Value	$84.47	$93.31	$99.63
Upside / Downside	1,030.74%	1,149.17%	1,233.68%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	15,106.81	15,191.36	15,276.37	15,361.87	15,447.84	15,534.30	16,000.33
Payout Ratio	4.85%	21.88%	38.91%	55.94%	72.97%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	732.75	3,323.92	5,944.08	8,593.46	11,272.30	13,980.87	14,800.30

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	-8.15%	-8.15%	-8.15%
Growth Rate	-0.44%	0.56%	1.56%
Year 1 PV (M)	3,582.86	3,618.84	3,654.83
Year 2 PV (M)	6,906.23	7,045.66	7,186.49
Year 3 PV (M)	10,762.24	11,089.80	11,423.95
Year 4 PV (M)	15,216.88	15,837.52	16,476.95
Year 5 PV (M)	20,343.48	21,385.88	22,470.59
PV of Terminal Value (M)	2,153,583.22	2,263,933.24	2,378,761.10
Equity Value (M)	2,210,394.90	2,322,910.96	2,439,973.91
Shares Outstanding (M)	28,490.07	28,490.07	28,490.07
Fair Value	$77.58	$81.53	$85.64
Upside / Downside	938.62%	991.49%	1,046.49%

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CRRC Corporation Limited (601766.SS)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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