Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Seatrium Ltd (5E2.SI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Aerospace & DefenseSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.60 - $0.89$0.74
Multi-Stage$1.07 - $1.17$1.12
Blended Fair Value$0.93
Current Price$2.01
Upside-53.75%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.010.010.020.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-50.02%-42.86%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)265.23
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)50.78
(=) Cash Retained (M)214.45
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)53.0533.1519.89
Cash Retained (M)214.45214.45214.45
(-) Cash Required (M)-53.05-33.15-19.89
(=) Excess Retained (M)161.40181.30194.56
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)3,420.453,420.453,420.45
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.050.050.06
LTM Dividend per Share0.010.010.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.050.050.06
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.060.070.07
WACC / Discount Rate8.07%8.07%8.07%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$0.60$0.74$0.89
Upside / Downside-69.96%-63.14%-55.77%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)265.23262.58259.96257.36254.78252.23259.80
Payout Ratio19.15%33.32%47.49%61.66%75.83%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)50.7887.49123.45158.68193.20227.01240.32

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.07%8.07%8.07%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)80.1480.9581.77
Year 2 PV (M)103.58105.70107.85
Year 3 PV (M)121.96125.73129.58
Year 4 PV (M)136.02141.65147.46
Year 5 PV (M)146.39154.02161.96
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,058.193,217.433,383.25
Equity Value (M)3,646.273,825.504,011.87
Shares Outstanding (M)3,420.453,420.453,420.45
Fair Value$1.07$1.12$1.17
Upside / Downside-46.96%-44.36%-41.65%

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