Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Integral Corporation (5842.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2,639.68 - $3,988.34$3,275.47
Multi-Stage$5,201.65 - $5,731.54$5,461.37
Blended Fair Value$4,368.42
Current Price$3,195.00
Upside36.73%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021
DPS0.00%0.00%11.390.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.39%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)10,736.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,135.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)9,601.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,147.201,342.00805.20
Cash Retained (M)9,601.009,601.009,601.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,147.20-1,342.00-805.20
(=) Excess Retained (M)7,453.808,259.008,795.80
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)34.9334.9334.93
(=) Excess Retained per Share213.37236.41251.78
LTM Dividend per Share32.4932.4932.49
(+) Excess Retained per Share213.37236.41251.78
(=) Adjusted Dividend245.86268.90284.27
WACC / Discount Rate7.13%7.13%7.13%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$2,639.68$3,275.47$3,988.34
Upside / Downside-17.38%2.52%24.83%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)10,736.0010,628.6410,522.3510,417.1310,312.9610,209.8310,516.12
Payout Ratio10.57%26.46%42.34%58.23%74.11%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,135.002,812.084,455.506,065.777,643.399,188.859,727.41

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.13%7.13%7.13%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)2,598.462,624.982,651.49
Year 2 PV (M)3,804.313,882.343,961.17
Year 3 PV (M)4,785.804,933.815,084.83
Year 4 PV (M)5,572.435,803.386,041.44
Year 5 PV (M)6,190.276,512.626,848.25
PV of Terminal Value (M)158,765.34167,032.62175,640.77
Equity Value (M)181,716.63190,789.75200,227.95
Shares Outstanding (M)34.9334.9334.93
Fair Value$5,201.65$5,461.37$5,731.54
Upside / Downside62.81%70.93%79.39%

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