Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Fundamentals

Mode

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Raoom Trading Co. (4144.SR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Manufacturing - MiscellaneousSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$14.93 - $23.41$18.83
Multi-Stage$37.35 - $41.07$39.17
Blended Fair Value$29.00
Current Price$66.30
Upside-56.26%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020
DPS0.00%0.00%1.710.000.000.001.260.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.01%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)16.83
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)14.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)2.83
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3.372.101.26
Cash Retained (M)2.832.832.83
(-) Cash Required (M)-3.37-2.10-1.26
(=) Excess Retained (M)-0.540.731.57
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)10.9410.9410.94
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.050.070.14
LTM Dividend per Share1.281.281.28
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.050.070.14
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.231.351.42
WACC / Discount Rate6.08%6.08%6.08%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$14.93$18.83$23.41
Upside / Downside-77.48%-71.60%-64.69%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)16.8316.6616.5016.3316.1716.0116.49
Payout Ratio83.18%84.55%85.91%87.27%88.64%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)14.0014.0914.1714.2514.3314.4015.25

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.08%6.08%6.08%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)13.1513.2813.41
Year 2 PV (M)12.3412.5912.85
Year 3 PV (M)11.5811.9412.30
Year 4 PV (M)10.8711.3211.78
Year 5 PV (M)10.1910.7211.28
PV of Terminal Value (M)350.37368.62387.61
Equity Value (M)408.50428.47449.24
Shares Outstanding (M)10.9410.9410.94
Fair Value$37.35$39.17$41.07
Upside / Downside-43.67%-40.91%-38.05%

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