Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Kingsoft Corporation Limited (3888.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electronic Gaming & MultimediaSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$201.74 - $237.81$222.80
Multi-Stage$131.67 - $144.90$138.16
Blended Fair Value$180.48
Current Price$37.31
Upside383.73%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%1.72%0.120.120.100.170.170.000.090.080.080.09
YoY Growth--4.61%16.37%-38.56%-4.30%0.00%-100.00%12.36%2.33%-9.39%-15.38%
Dividend Yield--0.35%0.53%0.30%0.81%0.40%0.00%0.55%0.41%0.42%0.58%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,690.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)190.47
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,499.53
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)338.00211.25126.75
Cash Retained (M)1,499.531,499.531,499.53
(-) Cash Required (M)-338.00-211.25-126.75
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,161.531,288.281,372.78
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,375.931,375.931,375.93
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.840.941.00
LTM Dividend per Share0.140.140.14
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.840.941.00
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.981.071.14
WACC / Discount Rate0.86%0.86%0.86%
Growth Rate2.66%3.66%4.66%
Fair Value$201.74$222.80$237.81
Upside / Downside440.71%497.17%537.38%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,690.001,751.781,815.821,882.201,951.002,022.322,082.99
Payout Ratio11.27%27.02%42.76%58.51%74.25%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)190.47473.27776.491,101.241,448.701,820.091,926.77

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate0.86%0.86%0.86%
Growth Rate2.66%3.66%4.66%
Year 1 PV (M)464.73469.26473.78
Year 2 PV (M)748.72763.38778.18
Year 3 PV (M)1,042.701,073.471,104.84
Year 4 PV (M)1,346.941,400.191,455.01
Year 5 PV (M)1,661.711,744.231,830.01
PV of Terminal Value (M)175,910.06184,646.60193,726.86
Equity Value (M)181,174.85190,097.13199,368.67
Shares Outstanding (M)1,375.931,375.931,375.93
Fair Value$131.67$138.16$144.90
Upside / Downside252.92%270.30%288.36%

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